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-   -   Full house contemplates folding. (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=259947)

Pokey 05-26-2005 08:21 PM

Full house contemplates folding.
 
<font color="blue">Tilt? Standard? Overplayed? Underplayed?

<font color="red">LAP</font> had a 48% VPIP, 9% PFR, and 0.94 aggression, mostly on the river (350ish hands).
<font color="red">SLPA</font> was relatively new; 23% VPIP, 0% PFR, and 3.33 aggression but after only 30 hands.</font>

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Pokey is BB with 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP1 <font color="#A500AF">(LAP)</font> calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls, Button <font color="#A500AF">(SLPA)</font> calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Pokey checks.

<font color="blue">Standard.</font>

Flop: (4.50 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
Pokey checks, <font color="#CC3333">LAP bets</font>, CO calls, <font color="#CC3333">SLPA raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Pokey 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">LAP caps</font>, CO folds, SLPA calls, Pokey calls.

<font color="blue">Check-raising my set. Just betting out might be better, but I figured someone would give me the check-raise opportunity. Even after it comes back reraised, I think a raise is for value, what with all the full house opportunities.</font>

Turn: (8.75 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Pokey bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">LAP raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SLPA 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Pokey caps</font>, LAP calls, SLPA calls.

<font color="blue">I made my full house, but what are they betting? I can't put them BOTH on random straights....I think that cap was a bad choice.</font>

River: (20.75 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Pokey checks, LAP checks, <font color="#CC3333">SLPA bets</font>, Pokey calls, LAP calls.

Final Pot: 23.75 BB

<font color="blue">Now, any eight or ten beats me. Even though I've got a full house, my call is crying. While I think I'm almost surely beaten, it's hard to imagine a situation where a full house can correctly fold for one river bet when the pot is over 20 BBs.</font>

WillMagic 05-26-2005 08:26 PM

Re: Full house contemplates folding.
 
Bet the flop. Check-raising sucks not because they won't bet, but because you will get less money in the pot. You will get raised all the time here...by either top pair or a straight draw.

Either way you need to lead.

The turn cap is fine.

Ugh. Ugly river. I don't know...I probably call.

Will

DemonDeac 05-26-2005 08:36 PM

Re: Full house contemplates folding.
 
WORSE.RIVER.EVER.

private joker 05-26-2005 09:34 PM

Re: Full house contemplates folding.
 
The river is an easy fold. Counterfeited full houses happen more often that I like, but when they do, you have to fold.


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