Top two doo doo?
 

Opponent in hand has the following stats:

VP$IP = 14.48 and preflop raise of 4.49. His aggression factor is average = 1.21.

What do you think?

Garland

Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (9 handed) converter

MP1 ($229.80)
Garland ($467.90)
MP3 ($208.50)
CO ($182.70)
Button ($402.30)
SB ($321.50)
BB ($593.90)
UTG ($197.30)
UTG+1 ($578)

Preflop: Garland is MP2 with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG+1 calls $4, MP1 calls $4, Garland calls $4, MP3 calls $4, CO calls $4, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($28) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(8 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets $28</font>, MP1 folds, <font color="#CC3333">Garland raises to $76</font>, MP3 folds, CO folds, SB folds, BB folds, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises to $198</font>...

Re: Top two doo doo?
 

Seems like it has to be a set here. With those numbers, he's probably not holding 98.

Re: Top two doo doo?
 

I agree AK raises PF, looks like a set of 7s to me.

Re: Top two doo doo?
 

Why are you raising this flop?

Re: Top two doo doo?
 

[ QUOTE ]
Why are you raising this flop?

[/ QUOTE ]

What is your suggested line? Calling down?

Garland

Re: Top two doo doo?
 

I have those same stats almost exactly. Saying that, I would fold here. At best you're chopping.

Re: Top two doo doo?
 

Well, judging by his stats, I doubt he limped 98s here, and I'd be hard pressed to believe he is betting QJs or something of that nature. So that leaves you with him having limped a big ace (A7 out of the question), ATs (maybe), or AA, TT, 77. So he is only reraising you when he has you crushed, unless he is super aggro (which he isn't). I think you make more money from his AK/AQ and lose less when he has TT/77 if you just call the flop. I mean there is nothing to be afraid of on this board, I might be able to see a raise if it was a twotone board, but even then, a flush draw is probably calling you. So what does raising accomplish?

Re: Top two doo doo?
 

[ QUOTE ]
So what does raising accomplish?

[/ QUOTE ]

- This eliminates possible broadway and open-ended draws behind me (KQ, QJ, QT, 89).

- This is cheaper than calling $25, $75, $150??... if I'm beaten.

Garland

Re: Top two doo doo?
 

Raising allows him to get away from his hand right here. If he doesn't raise, what do you do on the turn when villain bets the pot or 3/4 pot? I don't think you lose less by just calling.

Re: Top two doo doo?
 

opponent is showing a lot of aggression when you say he has no real aggressive tendencies...there's nothing really you beat that he would do this with, especially on this relatively drawless flop.