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Set problem...
The main villian in this hand (UTG+2) is a fairly tight player:
24.44% VP$IP, PF Raise % = 2.22. However it's only 44 hands worth of data. He also seems to underbet a lot. It appears the other player (UTG+1) calling is a chaser, but short-stacked. What would you do after the following sequence? All comments appreciated. Thanks, Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (10 handed) converter MP1 ($211) MP2 ($670.80) MP3 ($611.40) Garland ($459.90) Button ($337) SB ($206.70) BB ($324) UTG ($120.10) UTG+1 ($125.10) UTG+2 ($488.60) Preflop: Garland is CO with 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. UTG+1 calls $4, UTG+2 calls $4, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Garland calls $4, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB checks. Flop: ($18) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> BB checks, UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, Garland checks. Turn: ($18) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> BB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+2 bets $15</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Garland raises to $40</font>, BB folds, UTG+1 calls $40, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+2 raises to $65</font>, Garland ???? |
Re: Set problem...
Ack, this is a gross spot to be in.
1. Bet the flop with bottom set. 2. I think you can put UTG+1 on some sort of drawing hand, considering his style from your previous observations and his cold call. 3. Would UTG+2 limp TT? Is he a TAP in general? Overall, I have a hard time raising in this spot. You certainly don't want to fold, and calling doesn't seem like the best thing either, but I think it is best. Try to get to showdown cheap on the river. If a diamond or a 5 hits and you see action from UTG+1, you have an easy fold. Hope it worked out. |
Re: Set problem...
I'd be much more concerned with a 7 or 2 than a 5. Why did you check the flop last to act? Betting there isn't giving your hand away at all, and it builds the pot if anyone calls.
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Re: Set problem...
I reraise to $200 straight.
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Re: Set problem...
i cant fathom the check on the flop in a 4 way pot. i'd rather bet out and take a small pot here than give a free card that builds the pot for someone else.
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Re: Set problem...
call. then dump it on the river if you dont fill up. i feel like this is a math problem. he basically is giving you pot odds if you are behind, and i dont see him betting huge on ther river. there is a bit of money in the pot, and its three way. i dont see UTG folding, so...put that money in there. reraising will just get you reraised again..i think
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Re: Set problem...
[ QUOTE ]
call. then dump it on the river if you dont fill up. i feel like this is a math problem. he basically is giving you pot odds if you are behind, and i dont see him betting huge on ther river. there is a bit of money in the pot, and its three way. i dont see UTG folding, so...put that money in there. reraising will just get you reraised again..i think [/ QUOTE ] You must be kidding. You think villain has 52? |
Re: Set problem...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] call. then dump it on the river if you dont fill up. i feel like this is a math problem. he basically is giving you pot odds if you are behind, and i dont see him betting huge on ther river. there is a bit of money in the pot, and its three way. i dont see UTG folding, so...put that money in there. reraising will just get you reraised again..i think [/ QUOTE ] You must be kidding. You think villain has 52? [/ QUOTE ]no... 57. or 33. i would just call. |
Re: Set problem...
Hmmm, I didnt see it was still a 3 way pot here. That changes things quite a bit.
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Re: Set problem...
[ QUOTE ]
The main villian in this hand (UTG+2) is a fairly tight player: 24.44% VP$IP, PF Raise % = 2.22. However it's only 44 hands worth of data. He also seems to underbet a lot. It appears the other player (UTG+1) calling is a chaser, but short-stacked. What would you do after the following sequence? All comments appreciated. Thanks, Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (10 handed) converter MP1 ($211) MP2 ($670.80) MP3 ($611.40) Garland ($459.90) Button ($337) SB ($206.70) BB ($324) UTG ($120.10) UTG+1 ($125.10) UTG+2 ($488.60) Preflop: Garland is CO with 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. UTG+1 calls $4, UTG+2 calls $4, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Garland calls $4, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB checks. Flop: ($18) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> BB checks, UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, Garland checks. Turn: ($18) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> BB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+2 bets $15</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Garland raises to $40</font>, BB folds, UTG+1 calls $40, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+2 raises to $65</font>, Garland ???? [/ QUOTE ] I think going into calldown mode is best. He could be on fool's-AA or 33, but beyond that I don't see what you beat. Still, the pot odds he's laying you can't be beat. |
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