Bad play or bad luck?
 

Before anyone hounds me about the sample size, I'll admit its only 3.5k hands. However, I am down $140 dollars at $1-2 6max at Party, about -2BB/100.

How can I tell if I'm running bad or playing bad? As of this point KK is -$20 with a winrate of 45%. AKs is also at -$20 with a winrate of 50%. PP10's are -$4 with a winrate of 52%.

Am I just getting sucked out on more than usual, or am I overplaying 10s, Aks, etc? I don't really think it's possible to overplay KK in 6max as almost every post people want a showndown with it barring lots of passive players and an ace on the board.

I'm going to keep playing to make sure, but at net loss at this point is frustrating to say the least, and I don't want to start questioning every move I make. I've been a winning full ring player and a low limit SNG winner.

Not that any of you care about stats at this point, but mine are relatively normal I think but posting to make sure.

http://img199.exs.cx/img199/7325/ppoker4iq.png

What do you guys do with QJo, K10o, 22-55, KJo, Q10o when you're UTG? I fold all of them UTG, raising if they are suited, and raising 66-AA.

Flop Aggression: 2.89
Turn Aggression: 2.91
River Aggression: 1.47
Total: 2.45

That way too aggressive? I think I overplay AK, AQ, AJ to an extent postflop, I always read here about people often wanting to showdown ace high but I hate showing down ace high in $1-2 as I rarely win with it..

That is all at PartyPoker...

Then my crypto stats (obviously not enoug hands, just trying to show that I am not a horrendous player, but im up over $250 at 1-26max with stats that are almost the same)

http://img199.exs.cx/img199/2264/cryptostats2bw.png

Is this me running well at Cryptologic and running bad at Party? Can someone assure me that if I play 17000 more hands I will probably be in the green? The game doesn't seem hard to me at all but results are results. I would normally just combine the stats and say variance is variance but the crypto players seem to be on average so much worse than Party players, the game seems to be so incredibly easy. Could I be winning at Crypto but losing at party?

Thanks
confused and lost player [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

Re: Bad play or bad luck?
 

I raise KJo UTG, but fold 66....the rest of the hands you mentioned I fold as well

To me it looks like you dont raise enough PF, and your attempt to steal blinds is pathetically low

but Im not a 1/2 regular so take it for what its worth

just keep plugging along, and get some more hands and see how it goes 3.5K is INCREDIBLY small a sample size

Re: Bad play or bad luck?
 

[ QUOTE ]
I raise KJo UTG, but fold 66....the rest of the hands you mentioned I fold as well

To me it looks like you dont raise enough PF, and your attempt to steal blinds is pathetically low

but Im not a 1/2 regular so take it for what its worth

just keep plugging along, and get some more hands and see how it goes 3.5K is INCREDIBLY small a sample size

[/ QUOTE ]

This is good advice. At Party 1/2 I ran at VP$IP 27% and felt okay with it. A PFR of 14 I feel is a bare minium if you have a good understanding of 6 max games.

Krishan

Re: Bad play or bad luck?
 

[ QUOTE ]
I raise KJo UTG, but fold 66....the rest of the hands you mentioned I fold as well

To me it looks like you dont raise enough PF, and your attempt to steal blinds is pathetically low

but Im not a 1/2 regular so take it for what its worth

just keep plugging along, and get some more hands and see how it goes 3.5K is INCREDIBLY small a sample size

[/ QUOTE ]

What he said.

Additionally if money is an issue try clearing some bonuses to pad yourself a little bit.

Aside from that, showing down your Aces does not mean checking and calling. More often bet your big aces especially heads-up and take a free card or free showdown. You're probably doing this already to some extent. I found 1-2 to play so loose at times it was almost like playing a full ring game because so many players were seeing the flop regularly. Adjust for that as necessary.

Good Luck,
cjx

Re: Bad play or bad luck?
 

[ QUOTE ]
Before anyone hounds me about the sample size, I'll admit its only 3.5k hands. However, I am down $140 dollars at $1-2 6max at Party, about -2BB/100.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm a small winner at 1/2, and my last 10K hands I'm -40BB. In my last 3.5K hands, I'm down 150BB.

what does this mean? not much.

[ QUOTE ]

How can I tell if I'm running bad or playing bad?

[/ QUOTE ]

post hands

Re: Bad play or bad luck?
 

[ QUOTE ]
To me it looks like you dont raise enough PF, and your attempt to steal blinds is pathetically low

[/ QUOTE ]

yep, Uh Huh