Lets see if you guys like this one any better
If I wasnt open to critisism, I wouldnt post this hand after the lashing I took on the last one. So here goes.
The only draw is a gutshot so I like my flop raise. The turn raise probably shouldve been higher , right? My main concern is the river. I almost pushed all in after he check raised, but AT was a concern. Im a wuss and shouldve pushed right? Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) converter MP2 ($133.1) MP3 ($563.4) CO ($455) Hero ($924.1) SB ($314.3) BB ($594.8) UTG ($195) UTG+1 ($747.4) UTG+2 ($371.6) MP1 ($182.3) Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $2. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls $4, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls $4, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero calls $4, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB checks. Flop: ($18) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets $4</font>, MP1 folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $16</font>, BB folds, UTG+1 calls $12. Turn: ($50) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets $10</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $40</font>, UTG+1 calls $30. River: ($130) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $100</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises to $275</font>, Hero calls $175. Final Pot: $680 |
Re: Lets see if you guys like this one any better
Would he play TT or 22 the same way? If so it's a push, but it's close. If he plays AK this way then it's definetly not a push
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Re: Lets see if you guys like this one any better
Would UTG limp AT? I think it has to be either that or TT/22, with the latter seemingly more likely (just based on how many ways he can have it). It also seems like that massive underbet is more likely to be TT/22 than AT, but I could be wrong.
Thus, I think pushing is going to be a bit more high variance, but it's quite possibly +EV, so long as you can rule out AK. |
Re: Lets see if you guys like this one any better
have a feeling this should be a fold or push, based upon your read of the player
youre calling when behind and not maximizing profit when ahead i know this is a hard spot, dont mean to be overly critical |
Re: Lets see if you guys like this one any better
I think that you played this hand fine. Based on the way that he is massively underbetting the flop and turn, this looks like he's trying to get a cheap showdown. If I were to guess, villain holds KK, a failed limp-reraise pre-flop and rivered an underboat.
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Re: Lets see if you guys like this one any better
I like the flop raise.
I like the turn raise. The river check-raise is awfully scary. But he didn't raise all-in. Hrm... I put him on a smaller boat. But how small? 22? KK? It's hard to say. It could very well be AT or AK. I'd just call the river. |
Re: Lets see if you guys like this one any better
I push here. No preflop raise means no AK. A10 is a possibility, but I doubt it. The $100 river bet was not convincing. I think he raised hoping to steal with AJ. I figure by pushing this hand in this spot every time I make money.
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Re: Lets see if you guys like this one any better
[ QUOTE ]
I push here. No preflop raise means no AK. A10 is a possibility, but I doubt it. The $100 river bet was not convincing. I think he raised hoping to steal with AJ. I figure by pushing this hand in this spot every time I make money. [/ QUOTE ]hmm.. you make four points. the first three are stone cold wrong... the last one is debatable.. |
Re: Lets see if you guys like this one any better
wish someone would reply to what i wrote
i dont see why everyone thinks Hero is ahead so often against TAG opponents this is a really bad spot imho i limp with ATs UTG, AK is just as likely as KK TT less likely than AT etc |
Re: Lets see if you guys like this one any better
[ QUOTE ]
wish someone would reply to what i wrote.... against TAG opponents this is a really bad spot imho. i limp with ATs UTG, AK is just as likely as KK TT less likely than AT etc [/ QUOTE ] "i limp with ATs UTG" - then I wouldnt call you TAG "AK is just as likely as KK" - perhaps "TT less likely than AT" - why is that? |
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