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-   -   Missed value bett? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=162773)

cockandbull 12-16-2004 05:11 AM

Missed value bett?
 
Again im struggling to figure out when to value bet, this is an easy one i missed right? MP3 has stats of 60/9 postflop aggro of .5 while UTG has stats of 65/1.6 postflop .2.


Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, Button folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, MP3 calls.

Flop: (9.50 SB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, MP3 checks, Hero checks.

Turn: (4.75 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls, MP3 calls.

River: (10.75 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG+2 checks, MP3 checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: 10.75 BB

milesdyson 12-16-2004 05:15 AM

Re: Missed value bett?
 
To me, raising that turn is scarier than value betting the river (I do both, though).

Vaftrudner 12-16-2004 05:39 AM

Re: Missed value bett?
 
Well, it's a good way to blow out small diamonds. I like it. And bet the river. /v

bigchips 12-16-2004 05:45 AM

Re: Missed value bett?
 
Do you check the flop because you have position and can get a free card? Why not bet this flop?

Malcom Reynolds 12-16-2004 07:40 AM

Re: Missed value bett?
 
Nice hand, but bet the river.

pointcount 12-16-2004 08:18 AM

Re: Missed value bett?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Do you check the flop because you have position and can get a free card? Why not bet this flop?

[/ QUOTE ]

You have little pot equity at this moment, so there is no reason to bet. A free card is much more valuable.

cockandbull 12-16-2004 09:41 AM

Re: Missed value bett?
 
i checked because vs 4 opps i must likely behind. I have the chance to take a free card, plus i dont have any [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

davelin 12-16-2004 11:44 AM

Re: Missed value bett?
 
Yeah I'd value bet this. Someone else hitting the A is more likely than a flush.

bergh 12-16-2004 12:12 PM

Re: Missed value bett?
 
Since you are up against two really fishy players it is a good chance that both will call. Even if someone has the flush they probably don't dare to raise you. That gives you really good odds for a value bet...

frank_iii 12-16-2004 03:55 PM

Re: Missed value bett?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Do you check the flop because you have position and can get a free card? Why not bet this flop?

[/ QUOTE ]

You have little pot equity at this moment, so there is no reason to bet. A free card is much more valuable.

[/ QUOTE ]

HUH?! He raised preflop, there are 3 other players in the hand. He might win outright, he might still have the best hand, he might make a pair fold. I bet this flop every time.

Oh, and I bet the river. There's no reason to believe you're not going to be shown AXo.


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