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-   -   kerry by 4 (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=143525)

GrannyMae 11-01-2004 10:18 PM

kerry by 4
 
bet the bordello

wager the whores

leverage the labias

Simon Diamond 11-01-2004 10:29 PM

Re: kerry by 4
 
In English?

uuDevil 11-01-2004 10:33 PM

Re: kerry by 4
 
If that's 4 electoral votes, I hope you're right.

Nepa 11-01-2004 10:39 PM

Re: kerry by 4
 
[ QUOTE ]
bet the bordello



[/ QUOTE ]

Bet the House?

Greg J 11-01-2004 10:46 PM

Re: kerry by 4
 
I see it coming down to Ohio and Florida. Four probable scenarios (in no particular order):
1) Kerry wins both (Kerry wins)
2) Kerry wins only FL (Kerry wins)
3) Bush wins both (Bush wins)
4) Kerry wins OH, Bush FL -- this is the tricky one. It comes down to WI, Iowa, and MN. Kerry needs 2 of these 3. This situation is a coinflip basically.

This is also assuming Kerry takes Michigan and Pennsylvania (both likely), and that Bush takes New Mexico (probable) and Nevada (likely).

GrannyMae 11-01-2004 11:28 PM

Re: kerry by 4
 
4 percentage points. no problem on the electoral. may win ohio AND florida, but only needs ohio.

i saw early voting exit poll results that have not been published and kerry is smoking. i realize that early voters are more likely dems, but kerry will win comfortably.

go fantasia!!

ClaytonN 11-01-2004 11:37 PM

Re: kerry by 4
 
[ QUOTE ]
4 percentage points. no problem on the electoral. may win ohio AND florida, but only needs ohio.

i saw early voting exit poll results that have not been published and kerry is smoking. i realize that early voters are more likely dems, but kerry will win comfortably.

go fantasia!!

[/ QUOTE ]

Nada. It will be closer than that. Bush or Kerry wins by 2, margin of +/- 2.

Webster 11-01-2004 11:43 PM

Re: kerry by 4
 
I think Kerry wins by more then people expect. Have you seen the betting lines tumbling in Kerrys favor??

sammy_g 11-01-2004 11:46 PM

Re: kerry by 4
 
[ QUOTE ]
I think Kerry wins by more then people expect. Have you seen the betting lines tumbling in Kerrys favor??

[/ QUOTE ]
I put a bet on Kerry to win at even money. Historically, the undecideds don't side with the incumbent, and I think that'll tip it in Kerry's favor.

_2000Flushes 11-01-2004 11:50 PM

Re: kerry by 4
 
Given the recent trends and the assumption that all of my absentee ballots were accepted, Nader should swing the election to Bush. Gore again carries the popular vote.

-2kF


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