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-   -   I think this is an intersting preflop spot......... (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=396491)

car ramrod 12-12-2005 06:04 PM

Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
 
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lol. What does this mean? You are certain he has KK/AA so you're going to bet/raise/3-bet/cap the flop and turn to get him to make a sick fold on the river?

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No, if I was certain he had AA/KK then I would fold. I don't think he has only AA/KK, so therefore I 3bet and outplay him post flop. If he has one of those hands I will find out, if not, he will likely fold after he misses the flop.

If I had 1000 hands on the guy, I would fold, but I have seen a lot of people with these same stats after a small sampel raise some junk hands, and play very strange pf.

jason_t 12-12-2005 10:16 PM

Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
 
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lol. What does this mean? You are certain he has KK/AA so you're going to bet/raise/3-bet/cap the flop and turn to get him to make a sick fold on the river?

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No, if I was certain he had AA/KK then I would fold. I don't think he has only AA/KK, so therefore I 3bet and outplay him post flop. If he has one of those hands I will find out, if not, he will likely fold after he misses the flop.

If I had 1000 hands on the guy, I would fold, but I have seen a lot of people with these same stats after a small sampel raise some junk hands, and play very strange pf.

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This kind of arrogance and reasoning is setting you up to lose a lot of money.

PokerBob 12-12-2005 10:32 PM

Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
 
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Um i thought it was always like 6:1 or something.

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Your 7:1 to flop a set

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i thought it was 8.3:1 to flop a pair to set...

Where you get 7:1 from?

Id 3bet or fold, Calling is my least favourite.

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(50 choose 3)/((2 choose 1) * (49 choose 2)) - 1 = 7.33

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nerd

milesdyson 12-12-2005 10:58 PM

Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
 
i thought like 10 years ago in this thread i posted our hot/cold equity versus a huge range with this hand, and we were still 10% in the hole. we can't make it up against this guy's range, 65 hands or not.

what's the deal with everyone saying "it's only 65 hands"?

he has raised once in 65 hands. let's let this go.


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