Laying odds (side action) on HU games
 

tex's post made me think of something.

id love to see a sim run that has two players heads up.

one where sb is the button and one where bb is the button (i.e. one for HU on a normal site or live and one on party)

assume:

1) all sims are run HU limit holdem

2) each simulation is for 100 hands

3) we run 1*10^6 individual simulations

Player attributes

First, assume both players are evenly matched (clearly, here we expect the results to be even on average..i.e. both have wr of 0bb/100 vs. each other)

then assume 1 plays slightly better. (P1 has a wr of .25bb/100 vs. player two and P2 has a wr of -.25bb/100 vs. player 1) now what is the mass under the distrubution for P2's wr over lets say 100 hands where P2's win is >0 (i.e. P2 "wins" the HU match of 100 hands)

then conduct the same experiment but make it .5bb/100 to -.5bb/100 and keep going until maybe 1.5bb/100 and -1.5bb/100

the purpose of this would be to find a base from which one could generate an estimate of the odds to lay on a HU limit holdem match.

i dont have the simulation software for this but i think its generally intersesting.

Barron

Re: Laying odds (side action) on HU games
 

[ QUOTE ]

2) each simulation is for 100 hands


[/ QUOTE ]
and
[ QUOTE ]

3) we run 1*10^6 individual simulations


[/ QUOTE ]
and
[ QUOTE ]

then conduct the same experiment but make it .5bb/100 to -.5bb/100 and keep going until maybe 1.5bb/100 and -1.5bb/100


[/ QUOTE ]

= 600 million simulations

at 1 second/hand = 19 years

Re: Laying odds (side action) on HU games
 

Better get started soon then!

Re: Laying odds (side action) on HU games
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

2) each simulation is for 100 hands


[/ QUOTE ]
and
[ QUOTE ]

3) we run 1*10^6 individual simulations


[/ QUOTE ]
and
[ QUOTE ]

then conduct the same experiment but make it .5bb/100 to -.5bb/100 and keep going until maybe 1.5bb/100 and -1.5bb/100


[/ QUOTE ]

= 600 million simulations

at 1 second/hand = 19 years

[/ QUOTE ]


if he simmed it using a computer built 19 years ago, it would've taken 1/1000th that long

Re: Laying odds (side action) on HU games
 

[ QUOTE ]
= 600 million simulations

at 1 second/hand = 19 years


[/ QUOTE ]

Windows ME?