$11s - Bubble Push from SB into BB Big Stack?
 

***** Hand History for Game 2576558492 *****
NL Texas Hold'em $10 Buy-in + $1 Entry Fee Trny:15054696 Level:8 Blinds(200/400) - Monday, August 22, 01:11:47 EDT 2005
Table Table 35133 (Real Money)
Seat 9 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 3: uclabruinz ( $1740 )
Seat 6: dwade003 ( $3530 )
Seat 7: dehaandu ( $1960 )
Seat 9: Matts400 ( $770 )
Trny:15054696 Level:8
Blinds(200/400)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to uclabruinz [ Ah 7s ]
dehaandu folds.
Matts400 folds.
uclabruinz is....

Re: $11s - Bubble Push from SB into BB Big Stack?
 

push

Re: $11s - Bubble Push from SB into BB Big Stack?
 

Assuming he is calling with top 10% of hands (maybe a little too loose):
34% you double up: +1740
65% you lose: -1740

90% of the time overall you win +400


So (.9) * 400 + (.034) * 1740 + (.065) * -1740 = 306

Easy push.

Re: $11s - Bubble Push from SB into BB Big Stack?
 

Definitely push. I'm surprised the button folded to you. He must have had royal crap.

Re: $11s - Bubble Push from SB into BB Big Stack?
 

[ QUOTE ]
Assuming he is calling with top 10% of hands (maybe a little too loose):
34% you double up: +1740
65% you lose: -1740

90% of the time overall you win +400


So (.9) * 400 + (.034) * 1740 + (.065) * -1740 = 306

Easy push.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks for running me through this. Seriously. But it doesn't take into account that Shortie is about to get hit with t400 and t200 in blinds. I was just thinking maybe I should have let go the +EV in order to let the blinds work on shortie.

Normally without a shortie around like this I insta-push this hand.