Two Plus Two Older Archives

Two Plus Two Older Archives (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Sports Betting (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=38)
-   -   LSU-Tennessee, Computer Program (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=344918)

sekrah 09-26-2005 06:59 PM

LSU-Tennessee, Computer Program
 
Been writing a computer program to pick College football games, we'll see how it kicks.. The algorithm is pretty complicated (probably overcomplicated, but we'll see). It backtested freakishly well vs this last weekends game, but we know what backtesting means (zilch).

Anyway, there's a bunch of different factors involved, including Off v Def Matchups, Pass O vs Pass D, Rush O vs Rush D, Injuries, Experience, Team Mentality (re: Last Game), etc etc and a bunch of other crap.

Anyway, here's the output.

<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>
Tennessee at LSU -6.5

Tennessee Points: +1
LSU Points: +4

Net: LSU +3, LSU by 18 (11.5 Spread, 2 Star Selection)
</pre><hr />

i.e. each point edge is worth a 6 point edge in the game.


Rolling out the software, this week, we'll see how it flies.

09-26-2005 07:03 PM

Re: LSU-Tennessee, Computer Program
 
So if I am understanding this the computer picked LSU by 18 points? Sorry just dont know if I am reading correctly. But sounds pretty cool dude hope it works out well.

sekrah 09-26-2005 07:32 PM

Re: LSU-Tennessee, Computer Program
 
Yep, Everytime it picks a game, it'll have the winner by a multiple of 6. Just compare it to the vegas line, and the further away from the spread, the better play it is.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:40 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.