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-   -   Would someone take this bet with me? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=379298)

Jurollo 11-16-2005 12:02 AM

Would someone take this bet with me?
 
$100 bet.

From the beginning of December till the end of January... I play the Party $40K every night possible (3-5 nights a week), I contend I would make the final table once or more from the fields of 2000+
~Justin

11-16-2005 12:08 AM

Re: Would someone take this bet with me?
 
how about a bet and/or pool with more than one person of who makes the final table first or top finishes?

11-16-2005 12:08 AM

Re: Would someone take this bet with me?
 
i'd take that bet....pm me

Exitonly 11-16-2005 12:09 AM

Re: Would someone take this bet with me?
 
i'll take the bet

ilya 11-16-2005 12:10 AM

Re: Would someone take this bet with me?
 
I would take this bet, but only if just a few other people took it with me.

KneeCo 11-16-2005 02:51 AM

Re: Would someone take this bet with me?
 
If you would guarantee no more than 35 tries, I would take this bet. Hehe, no offense though.

Jurollo 11-16-2005 03:28 AM

Re: Would someone take this bet with me?
 
No offense taken, just something fun I might do when December comes.
~Justin

DeadMoneyOC 11-16-2005 03:42 AM

Re: Would someone take this bet with me?
 
I would give you from today until the last day of January.

CardSharpCook 11-16-2005 03:45 AM

Re: Would someone take this bet with me?
 
ok, 200 tables, you have to make the FT. .5% chance. 40 tries. We need to hit our 99.5% shot 40 times in a row. .995^40 = 81.8% chance that we win IF you are an average player. However, I've got faith in you. I think you are twice as good as the field. So... .99^40 = 66.9% shot. You will make the FT 33.1% of the time in 40 consecutive tries. Yeah, I'll take that bet! What is my EV? 200*.669 + 0*.331 - 100 = $33.80. Sweet! You good for another $100 bet or am I too late?

FishInAPhoneBooth 11-16-2005 02:19 PM

Re: Would someone take this bet with me?
 
Have you played the $40k lately? I think our man is at least 3x as good as the field.


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