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-   -   Shorthanded WTSD% and Standard Deviation (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=347461)

weevil 09-30-2005 05:03 AM

Shorthanded WTSD% and Standard Deviation
 
What is the correlation between these two stats? I keep trying to bring my WTSD% below 40%, but I'm always at that range. As well, my standard deviation has always been a little over 20BB/100. Both of these stats seem to fall just outside the upper range of what is considered part of a winning style, yet I've managed to be a decent winner over a very large sample. Everything else seems normal statwise:

VPIP: 27%, PFR: 20%, AF: 2.75, W$SD: 47%, W$WSF: 46% - I'm averaging 1.8BB per hand on non-folded high card showdowns, and my river fold is at 38%.

So even though I'm going to showdown often, it's not with poor high card calldowns or a failure to fold clear losers. What gives? And why is my Std. Dev. so fing high? I've had a few 150BB swings, but mostly my earnings haven't seemed that streaky.

ArturiusX 09-30-2005 05:27 AM

Re: Shorthanded WTSD% and Standard Deviation
 
What limit?

weevil 09-30-2005 05:48 AM

Re: Shorthanded WTSD% and Standard Deviation
 
[ QUOTE ]
What limit?

[/ QUOTE ]

I mostly play Party 5/10 and 10/20 6-max. But that shouldn't matter too much for my question. I guess I'm asking what the theoretical connection is between went to showdown and standard devation.. i.e., if you go to showdown too often, how does that directly effect standard deviation?

Digs 09-30-2005 06:59 AM

Re: Shorthanded WTSD% and Standard Deviation
 
I would think there's a positive correlation, i mean taking more bets/hands should equate to higher variance. Not that I have a r^2 to give you or anything.

ArturiusX 09-30-2005 07:05 AM

Re: Shorthanded WTSD% and Standard Deviation
 
It might matter a little bit, because aggressive opponents call for different, more variance assuming lines.


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