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-   -   I folded QQ before the flop (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=110942)

Texas Pete 08-08-2004 03:03 PM

I folded QQ before the flop
 
I guess the very first hand of a tourney qualifies as a place not to take big chances too early.
Like I need this crap first thing in the morning...
Anyway, went on to win 2nd.

Paradise Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t5 (10 handed) converter

saw flop|<font color="C00000">saw showdown</font>

Button (t1000.00)
Hero (t1000.00)
BB (t1000.00)
UTG (t1000.00)
UTG+1 (t1000.00)
UTG+2 (t1000.00)
MP1 (t1000.00)
MP2 (t1000.00)
MP3 (t1000.00)
CO (t1000.00)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of t5.
UTG calls t10, <font color="CC3333">UTG+1 raises to t30</font>, <font color="CC3333">UTG+2 raises to t150</font>, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, CO folds, Button folds, Hero (poster) folds, BB folds, UTG calls t140, UTG+1 calls t120.

Flop: (t465) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(3 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">UTG bets t60</font>, UTG+1 calls t60, <font color="CC3333">UTG+2 raises to t850</font>, UTG folds, UTG+1 folds.

Final Pot: t1435
<font color="green">Main Pot: t645 (t645), won by UTG+2.</font>
<font color="green">Pot 2: t790 (t790), returned to UTG+2.</font>

Phill S 08-08-2004 03:14 PM

Re: I folded QQ before the flop
 
i hope this is a joke post.

you folded probably the best hand that was out there, on the first hand.

let me tell you why this is wrong.

if you win, you at least double though, looking at the hand it may be a triple through.

if you lose, you start another one imediately.

sure, you may be behind, but what if your not.

i woulda be taking this chance in a second, and i cant believe you didnt

Phill

Texas Pete 08-08-2004 03:34 PM

Re: I folded QQ before the flop
 
No, it's not a joke, it was really the first hand, and I really folded after 2 raises ahead of me. I say at least one of em has AA-TT or AK preflop, and this thing is headed all-in (which is where it went), and I have a 50/50 chance with one caller or worse with two. No need for that on the first hand. Like I said, I won 2nd. A good player doesn't want to take chances like that. But, i'm willing to be educated if I must. Your argument does not take into account the probability of winning, vs. the probability of finishing ITM when folding.

BradleyT 08-08-2004 03:42 PM

Re: I folded QQ before the flop
 
I don't think I would fold pre-flop. You'll be up against something other than AA or KK or AK more often than you are against them.

If an ace or king pops up on the flop I slow down otherwise I'll push the flop.

Last night in a SnG two people got all in preflop on first hand. JJ vs. A6s. JJ raised 3xBB, A6 raised, JJ pushed, A6 called. I see hands like that all the time to be honest. I saw KJs and AQo get it all in preflop on 2nd hand in the next SnG I played.

Note this is for $20 and under SnG's. At higher level you're probably right in folding.

Phill S 08-08-2004 03:48 PM

Re: I folded QQ before the flop
 
im assuming you dont know what he had because he didnt show.

its hard to say what the correct move was. its true you got second, maybe you could of gotton first if you doubled on that first hand.

looking it over, id say AK is unlikely, unless UTG+2 has a death wish, that was a nice flop. its likely UTG has a big ace (AT with a fair enough flop raise, AK for a fair enough bluff). UTG+2 prolly has a pocket pair.

now its likely its anything from TT to AA. however you couldnt get that close to a read on hand one preflop.

the reason i push is
a, there are so many hands that will call that you have beaten
b, so what if you lose, youve put no effort into the game so far.

personally id prefer to go out hand one that on the bubble.

now you got second, and thats fair enough, but you couldnt be certain of anything at the time beyond the fact that on hand one you got a monster. the only two hands you dread is AA and KK.

was it the right play, we'll never know, but it was a questionable play in my opinion.

itd be nice to get opinions from others, but like i say, its an easy push. 1 stack, 1 chance, 1 more in 5 minutes if you lose.

Phill

Navers 08-08-2004 03:49 PM

Re: I folded QQ before the flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
A good player doesn't want to take chances like that.

[/ QUOTE ]

The chances that you have the best pair are good, why wouldn't you want to take this chance? It's only +EV, I don't understand what you mean by good players dont take chances. This isn't the middle of a tournament where you could be up against AK with your QQ and you're a big stack up against another, this is early in the tournament where he's much more like to have a worse hand than not.

Texas Pete 08-08-2004 04:29 PM

Re: I folded QQ before the flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
A good player doesn't want to take chances like that.

[/ QUOTE ]

The chances that you have the best pair are good, why wouldn't you want to take this chance? It's only +EV, I don't understand what you mean by good players dont take chances.

[/ QUOTE ]

Too big a chance too early on, or marginal bets, even if they have a +EV. Not "don't take chances" = weak tight.
The calling arguments rely on crappy players. If you have decent players, then I fail to see how a 3BB raise then reraise, both from very early position, means QQ is a favorite. It's $20+2 on Paradise which is not pros, but not too shabby players either. By the way, he showed. He had QQ! I laughed.

adanthar 08-08-2004 04:34 PM

Re: I folded QQ before the flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
The calling arguments rely on crappy players. If you have decent players, then I fail to see how a 3BB raise then reraise, both from very early position, means QQ is a favorite. It's $20+2 on Paradise which is not pros, but not too shabby players either.

[/ QUOTE ]

At 30+3 at Party, I auto-all in and expect to be shown A6s 98% of the time.

zephyr 08-08-2004 04:38 PM

Re: I folded QQ before the flop
 
I agree with Phil S. Definetly a push preflop, if both players fold you've increased your stack by ~20%, if you're called you likely have the best hand.

You can't make much of a read on UTG+1, but I'd be willing to bet that you have him dominated (smaller pair or AQs-A2s). UTG+2 could have a wide range of hands, most of which you have beat.

For me QQ is my cutoff hands for making pushes in situations like this. I'd probably just call with JJ and hope for a set or undercards on the flop. The times that you run into AA or KK, are just some of those situations that you have to accept in these tourneys.

Based on the flop action I'd put UTG+2 on JJ, possibly 99 or 88, and maybe A10. It doesn't seem likely that he has KK or AA, or 1010 as there are few draws on board and he'd probably play those hands a touch slower. His all-in bet screams to me that his hand is likely the best at the time, but is vulnerable (likely to overcards, as there are no real draws here).

Only my opinion,

Zephyr

Texas Pete 08-08-2004 09:27 PM

Re: I folded QQ before the flop
 
Well, I knew if I went down to AA or KK, or worse yet A2s on the opening hand, i'd basically put my forehead through the freakin' monitor. And it's not a flat screen either. So perhaps I folded to avoid pain. Adding the monitor replacement cost into the mix made it an easy fold. I suppose if i'd made it through my first cup of coffee already I would call. Who knows.


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