Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%
 

Awaiting Cyrus's reply. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 97%
 

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1. The probably of God's existence is one in two. That is, God either exists or doesn't.


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The probability that this die will land on six is one in two. That is, Either it'll land on six, or it won't. Since I'm a nice guy I'll lay you 2:1 on this 1:1 proposition, k? We'll play till I go broke.

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Much as I hate the thought of defending Swinburne from anything, he did not make that mistake. He has a, no doubt potty, argument to justify god existing more than 50% of the time, its not a deduction from god exists or doesn't. [if memory serves, D'Alembert did makes this error but he was a mathematician [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]]

Has anyone any reason to believe there are mathematical/logical errors in the rest of his argument rather than just some highly dubious assumptions.

chez

Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%
 

if this is a real proof, i am a professor of quantum mechanics at stanford.

Morongo !
 

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1. The probably of God's existence is one in two. That is, God either exists or doesn't.

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Yep. As Prof. Mike Caro posited, "In the beginning everything was even money".

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2. The probability that God became incarnate, that is embodied in human form, is also one in two.

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Are there only two forms? I musta missed something. Why couldn't God become incarnate in some other carnal form? Wouldn't a Talking Donkey be much more persuasive than Jesus riding a donkey?

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3. The evidence for God's existence is an argument for the resurrection.

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Not according to the Hebrew Testament! Call BossJJ for details.

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4. The chance of Christ's resurrection not being reported by the gospels has a probability of one in 10.

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So one in ten times a text that's supposed to be born specifically out of the resurrection would NOT mention at all the resurrection ??

Who's putting out those lines? If that was a sports book, it would have closed after one hour, tops.

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5. Considering all these factors together, there is a one in 1,000 chance that the resurrection is not true.

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Can't wait for the arithmetic.

Re: Morongo !
 

As a Christian, I believe it is especially important for me to dismiss this garbage. Nuts like this professor do a lot of damage to other Christians, at least in the eyes of non-Christians.

Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%
 

Probability of this guy needing a math degree: 100%.

Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%
 

The Great Swinburne-Sklansky Debate. Each man pulls probabilities about god out of his ass and throws them at the other until one is too buried to breathe.

PairTheBoard

Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%
 

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The Great Swinburne-Sklansky Debate. Each man pulls probabilities about god out of his ass and throws them at the other until one is too buried to breathe.

PairTheBoard

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Thats about right. Swinburne's argument uses bayes theorem and some arbitary looking probabilities to show the resurrection is very likely to be true. Sound familiar [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Its depressing that posters who pride themselves on their rationality are so sure that Swinburne's failings are mathematical when a few minutes googleplexing would show them that 'The Age and Catholic News' representation of his argument is highly misleading - probably because they, rather than Swinburne, didn't understand the maths.


chez

Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%
 

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Probability of this guy needing a math degree: 100%.

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Probaility of this guy being able to get a math degree: 1%.

Re: Math Proves Probability of Christ\'s Resurrection = 99.9%
 

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Probability of this guy needing a math degree: 100%.

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Probaility of this guy being able to get a math degree: 1%.

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I trust you guys assign probabilities a bit more objectively when you're playing poker [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

chez