Re: YTD
 

22-25-2

BR: 8230.5

Week 13 picks
 

Jaguars -3 Risking $410 to win $418
Titans +15 Risking $410 to win $385.4
Vikings -2.5 Risking $410 to win $373
Raiders +11.5 Risking $410 to win $373
Chiefs +1 Risking $410 to win $382

Re: YTD
 

25-27-2

BR: $8583.5

Week 14 picks
 

Vikings -6.5 buying half point, Risking $430 to win $374
Jaguars +9 Risking $430 to win $387
49ers +16 Risking $430 to win $423
Ravens +14.5 Risking $430 to win $396

Re: Week 14 picks
 

So what are your thoughts on the system at this stage?

Re: Week 14 picks
 

Based on what I've tested, the system is meeting my expectations. Will it have a winning year? that remains to be seen, but based on what I've seen I expect it to do real well coming down the final stretch. I was thinking of increasing my bet size to 7% of bankroll because generally the last four weeks or so have the least amount of selections, and the highest win rate of all other weeks something close to 65% of games. Another thing I've noticed is that it picks favorites a lot more then dogs, still trying to figure out why that is.

Overall though, I'm happy with this years result. I guess the only think I need to work on is developing a proper betting amount, perhaps something like the Kelly system where each game will have a unit amount. I think I'll work on that in the off season, but it I think it will prove to be challenging. Another thought is just flat betting 2%, I will hopefuly have a bigger BR next year.

Re: YTD
 

28-28-2

BR: 9310.5

Week 15 picks
 

Jaguars -15.5 Risking $465 to win $418.5
Chargers +7 Risking $465 to win $432.5
Saints +9.5 Risking $465 to win $451
Raiders -3 Risking $465 to win $418.5