Why I hate \"Look at my 500-SNG penis\" posts
 

One of the most common generic types of posts on this forum is the "check-up" post where somebody posts their results (always good) from their last 100-1000 SNGs.

These posts suck.

We all want to get better at SNGs and we all want to know what is obtainable and sustainable in terms of earning potential. These posts don't help in either regard, and can be quite anti-productive in the latter regard.

You don't have to be a statistician to understand how selection bias deems the data contained in these post worthless.

So, the topic got me thinking about a little thought experiment:

Imagine if every registered user of 2+2 played a set of 500 SNGs.

Furthermore, for the sake of demonstration, imagine if every 2+2 poster was actually a LOSING poker player. Assume for a moment that we all had a "true" expected ROI of -9%

I asked our resident Monte Carlo simulator expert to plug-in a -9% ROI for every registered 2+2 user and have them play 500 SNGs.

How many "winners" would there be? 3703
Would somebody have a 20% or better ROI? Yep

So, even if we were all losing poker players playing 500 SNGs a month there could be thousands of posts by "winning" poker players each month talking about their last set of 500 SNGs.

If you want to know if you are any good, ask a long term winner to watch some of your HHs.

If you want to know what's sustainable, ask a long term winner what their ROI/ITM at a certain level has been. (Or search one of the 9384268268726127967234 posts on the topic.)

Irieguy

Re: Why I hate \"Look at my 500-SNG penis\" posts
 

Amen. My Brother. Amen.

Seth

Re: Why I hate \"Look at my 500-SNG penis\" posts
 

YEA!!!!! I think I may have posted one of these stupid posts a few months ago on my first 1000 SnG's. I really only did it because I'd seen a lot of those posts, and it's only been in the past few weeks or so that I've realized how incredibly stupid they are.

I say, if you want to make a results post, it should be minimum 5000 SnG's at a given level. If you're winning after 5000, you're probably a winner.

Even then, though, who really cares about my stats? No one except me and my landlord. It's just self-indulgent. And if you're posting 500 bad SnG's, it's a plea for pity. Yuck. Good post, Irie.

Re: Why I hate \"Look at my 500-SNG penis\" posts
 

I imagine the typical "My last 500 sngs at $XX buyin" poster expects this sort of validation.

http://hometown.aol.com/pimpen82/ima...ssing%20me.jpg

Re: Why I hate \"Look at my 500-SNG penis\" posts
 

Dude, that is one low res picture.

Re: Why I hate \"Look at my 500-SNG penis\" posts
 

You can bet that if a Penis post actually did RECEIVE this kind of validation, I would be posting my stats often.

Re: Why I hate \"Look at my 500-SNG penis\" posts
 

you mean my 5000% roi over my last three sitngos isnt because of my 1337 skills?

Re: Why I hate \"Look at my 500-SNG penis\" posts
 

It's hard to find a quality pic of 2 girls kissing some douchebag for no good reason.

Why I hate Irieguy
 

he introduced me to Vegas strip clubs.....

Re: Why I hate \"Look at my 500-SNG penis\" posts
 

Bones,

If that picture is of you, you are my type of dude.

Irieguy