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-   -   pretty simple question (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=402585)

chief444 12-22-2005 06:47 PM

Re: pretty simple question
 
I don't fold that flop with a pair and I'm not even loose. It's a blind steal situation and pocket 3's is I'm pretty sure ahead of his range.

TripleH68 12-22-2005 07:12 PM

Re: pretty simple question
 
Villain called on a drawless flop. Check behind.

Paying off a turn raise and not minding because you have outs stinks in this small pot.

12-22-2005 07:33 PM

Re: pretty simple question
 
(This is a grunch from a green fish.)

You don't have a made hand, but you've got a gutshot straight flush draw.

Jd gives you a royal straight flush (one out).

Any of the other three jacks gives you a nut straight (three more outs).

Any non-jack diamond gives you the nut flush (eight more outs).

And that not counting any aces, as a pair of aces will win you the hand if the villain has KX or QX, but not if he has KK or QQ.

So that's 12 outs that will give you the adsolute nuts, with 46 cards you haven't seen, making your drawing odds 3.73:1.

Pot odds are 3.16 BB. If you bet and he check-raises, then you're behind the odds curve. He hasn't check-raised so far, but that doesn't mean he won't.

Check. If you don't get one of your outs on the river then hope he checks again and you can get to a showdown for free. Fold if he bets.

WillMagic 12-23-2005 12:12 AM

Re: pretty simple question
 
I bet here every time. I'm putting pressure on him if he's holding a seven or a low pp. That Q is a scary card for a lot of villain's hands, and I don't really feel like letting him have such an easy time playing this hand.

Taking free cards in heads-up pots is generally a mediocre strategy. Giving up all your fold equity and turning your hand face up isn't good poker.

Will


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