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-   -   Going for 1st (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=407621)

12-30-2005 05:00 AM

Going for 1st
 
Anyone disagree?

NL Texas Hold'em $20 Buy-in + $2 Entry Fee Trny:18728636 Level:6 Blinds(100/200) - Friday, December 30, 03:41:13 EDT 2005
Table Table 66887 (Real Money)
Seat 1 is the button
Total number of players : 3
Seat 6: PazzMan ( $3230 )
Seat 2: hustlinonU ( $970 )
Seat 1: badbadmonk ( $3800 )
Trny:18728636 Level:6
Blinds(100/200)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to PazzMan [ Ac Qc ]
badbadmonk raises [400].
hustlinonU folds.
PazzMan is all-In.

12-30-2005 05:04 AM

Re: Going for 1st
 
Just wow...

You do know there is someone with 970 chips right?

lorinda 12-30-2005 05:05 AM

Re: Going for 1st
 
Seems fine.

It might be more interesting if the short stack had just folded for his last 25 chips or something though.

Lori

The Yugoslavian 12-30-2005 05:06 AM

Re: Going for 1st
 
I hope you weren't thinking of folding.

Yugoslav

bones 12-30-2005 05:09 AM

Re: Going for 1st
 
[ QUOTE ]
Just wow...

You do know there is someone with 970 chips right?

[/ QUOTE ]

Good thinking. You should probably fold everything but aces because someone has "just" 5 bbs and you're ITM.

11t 12-30-2005 05:09 AM

Re: Going for 1st
 
Standard IMO.

graydot 12-30-2005 06:42 AM

Re: Going for 1st
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Just wow...

You do know there is someone with 970 chips right?

[/ QUOTE ]

Good thinking. You should probably fold everything but aces because someone has "just" 5 bbs and you're ITM.

[/ QUOTE ]

Eggsactly, easy fold.

THere is a shorty there, why risk with AQ?

lastchance 12-30-2005 06:49 AM

Re: Going for 1st
 
Bones was being sarcastic. I do not know whether or not you are.

There's a 10% jump between 3rd and 2nd, and a 20% chance jump between 2nd and 1st. If you ICM'ed this, I bet it would be an easy shove, because you're 3-handed, so Button raises a lot, plus you have AQ, which is AA-like here.

Autoshove.

12-30-2005 10:36 AM

Re: Going for 1st
 
Easy push...

I hope graydot was being sarcastic too....

yvesaint 12-30-2005 10:38 AM

Re: Going for 1st
 
i probably either call or push here, depending on my read of the raiser

Kristian 12-30-2005 10:42 AM

Re: Going for 1st
 
[ QUOTE ]
Anyone disagree?


[/ QUOTE ]

It seems so, but they are wrong.

12-30-2005 10:51 AM

Re: Going for 1st
 
[ QUOTE ]
i probably either call or push here, depending on my read of the raiser

[/ QUOTE ]

I've played against the raiser many times. He is one of the worst players on Party, a 90% VPIP'er that never folds. The OP would know this too so AQ is an easy push.

Sciolist 12-30-2005 10:58 AM

Re: Going for 1st
 
Allin, thank you.

Snarf 12-30-2005 12:16 PM

Re: Going for 1st
 
I guess the most interesting part of this post is the part where the OP makes it seem like he's getting called for sure and taking a race/gamble for 3rd or 1st.

I'm pretty sure the guy will almost always fold. You're FE is QUITE high.

tigerite 12-30-2005 12:24 PM

Re: Going for 1st
 
You should definitely move-in here. It's nothing like the KJo hand the other day because, well, AQs is like absolutely massive compared to KJo.

tigerite 12-30-2005 12:25 PM

Re: Going for 1st
 
Oh by the way FE doesn't actually matter here, even if he folded the bottom 2/3rds he was raising with, you would still want his range to be no wider than top 21%, which is exactly the same as if he called every time you pushed! But that's more than wide enough ITM.

12-30-2005 06:31 PM

Re: Going for 1st
 
Here is the outcome. At least the read was right.

badbadmonk calls [2830].
** Dealing Flop ** [ Td, 5h, 7s ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Ks ]
** Dealing River ** [ 9c ]
badbadmonk shows [ As, Tc ] a pair of tens.
PazzMan shows [ Ac, Qc ] high card ace.
badbadmonk wins 6560 chips from the main pot with a pair of tens.
PazzMan finished in third place and won $40.
PazzMan has left the table.

ilya 12-30-2005 07:52 PM

Re: Going for 1st
 
I'm embarassed to admit that I thought this was close. But then I did the math and...wow. It's not remotely close. In fact it looks like pushing as low as A8o is reasonable.


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