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-   -   River decision/am I committed? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=399030)

johnnybeef 12-15-2005 04:52 PM

Results
 
I knew that the ten was a terrible card for me, and I very nearly laid it down (I would have probably laid it down at a 55+.) Much to my dismay, he turned over JTo for a full house.

skipperbob 12-15-2005 04:58 PM

Re: River decision/am I committed?
 
[ QUOTE ]

Comments on all streets appreciated, I think that I played it perfectly on all streets, except perhaps the river, which I am still unsure if I SHOULD BE commited or not.

[/ QUOTE ]

FYP...Answer = Yes

tigerite 12-15-2005 05:00 PM

Re: River decision/am I committed?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I totally disagree with this line. If I raise and he shoves, I have to fold a hand that has a ton of cards that could improve my equity here. Playing post flop is fun.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you raise and he shoves, you fold? Really? I wouldn't.

johnnybeef 12-15-2005 05:03 PM

Re: River decision/am I committed?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I totally disagree with this line. If I raise and he shoves, I have to fold a hand that has a ton of cards that could improve my equity here. Playing post flop is fun.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you raise and he shoves, you fold? Really? I wouldn't.

[/ QUOTE ]

on instinct alone, yes. after i am done with the current set that i am playing, i will do some math and report back.

tigerite 12-15-2005 05:05 PM

Re: River decision/am I committed?
 
Well, in that case, as Irieguy says I'd just push the flop when it gets back to you, to stop that even being a possibility. It would be so easy for someone to bluff you off of the best hand (by some considerable distance) by pushing a draw, and you can't let that happen.

I make the decision that I'm going to the felt with this hand, and I think by raising less than all-in it gives my opponent the chance to push back on a bluff, with a hand he would likely fold to a push - whether this is good or not I don't know, as it comes under curtains' argument of being too greedy etc, it might just be best to take the t200 that is there already.

tewall 12-15-2005 05:18 PM

Re: River decision/am I committed?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Well, in that case, as Irieguy says I'd just push the flop when it gets back to you, to stop that even being a possibility. It would be so easy for someone to bluff you off of the best hand (by some considerable distance) by pushing a draw, and you can't let that happen.

[/ QUOTE ]

How about if there were 4 players in the pot instead of 3? And the flop came with three spades instead of just two? Are you willing to risk everything just because you have Aces regardless?

I don't think it's as easy as you can't let someone push you off a hand that might be best. You still have a lot of chips, and this was about as bad a flop as you can get with AA.

I like the push idea better than the raise idea, for the reason you point out, that it takes away any pushing equity an opponent might have. The other thing is someone with JTo might (MIGHT) fold.

However I think the posters line of calling a cheap bet here to see the turn is fine. I'm not sure that throwing up and abdocating the hand might be the best play though.

I didn't see the amount of the flop bet, just saw that it was described as small, but it's not small. I agree with Irieguy's comments about pushing, although I think throwing up is a close second.

johnnybeef 12-15-2005 05:24 PM

Re: River decision/am I committed?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Well, in that case, as Irieguy says I'd just push the flop when it gets back to you, to stop that even being a possibility. It would be so easy for someone to bluff you off of the best hand (by some considerable distance) by pushing a draw, and you can't let that happen.

I make the decision that I'm going to the felt with this hand, and I think by raising less than all-in it gives my opponent the chance to push back on a bluff, with a hand he would likely fold to a push - whether this is good or not I don't know, as it comes under curtains' argument of being too greedy etc, it might just be best to take the t200 that is there already.

[/ QUOTE ]

In hindsight, I definately like Irie's line the best. In an effort to keep the discussion going, lets say that he repops me on the flop. Against the range of any two broadway, I am a slight favorite. Even if I modify his range to be at least two pair and AK, a call would be correct.

equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

Hand 1: 48.1444 % [ 00.46 00.02 ] { AsAd }
Hand 2: 51.8556 % [ 00.50 00.02 ] { KK-TT, AKs-AQs, KQs, KTs, QTs, AKo-AQo, KQo, KTo, QTo }


---

Looks like my thinking is off in several cases.

tewall 12-15-2005 05:25 PM

Re: River decision/am I committed?
 
I think you should raise more PF to make it more likely you don't get more than one caller.

johnnybeef 12-15-2005 05:27 PM

Re: River decision/am I committed?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I think you should raise more PF to make it more likely you don't get more than one caller.

[/ QUOTE ]

no, i want action.

durron597 12-15-2005 05:45 PM

Re: River decision/am I committed?
 
Jam the turn. You get called by two pair or a set all the time here, and you have the nuts.


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