betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
 

so i had recently been playing fairly aggressively and BB was aggressive, so i thought i'm probably over 40% vs. his range. losing here i'd be in redzone. winning im in good shape, and folding i'm in midzone.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (8 handed) converter

Hero (t3225)
SB (t15455)
BB (t2370)
UTG (t1550)
UTG+1 (t10870)
MP1 (t3485)
MP2 (t2460)
CO (t1265)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t400</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to t2370</font>, Hero calls t1970.

Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
 

If you think you're 40% against his range then you need 1.5 to 1 odds just to make this a neutral decision. You're getting almost exactly 1.5 to 1 odds. So this isn't a +EV call. Nor is it a -EV call. It all gets back to whether or not variance is good for variance's stake. You certainly have a big enough stack to play with if you fold. And I think a goal in any money making activity should be to maximize returns while limiting variance. So I wouldn't make this call but am certainly open to other ideas as to why it's a good thing.

Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
 

[ QUOTE ]
It all gets back to whether or not variance is good for variance's stake.

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exactly. thats why i felt like at this point variance is my friend since either way i'll be in a more profitable zone stackwise.

Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
 

I don't understand why you think the "red" zone is more profitable than a middle zone.

Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
 

yea, this is definitely not right.

Just because more hands become profitable to push/play aggressivly. Doesnt mean it's amore profitable 'zone' to be in.

Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
 

[ QUOTE ]
I don't understand why you think the "red" zone is more profitable than a middle zone

[/ QUOTE ]

this thread:

better to be in redzone?

Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
 

Well only you and betgo thought that concept had any merit to begin with. I don't believe it does.

Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
 

I give the theory 1.5 thumbs up.

I don't know, I'm seeing some parallels to Giga' Q3o in this.

Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
 

It's not even close.

Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
 

[ QUOTE ]

I give the theory 1.5 thumbs up.

I don't know, I'm seeing some parallels to Giga' Q3o in this.


[/ QUOTE ]

heh. yep. i was thinking the same thing.