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-   -   I have a read! Fold turn? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=408172)

KINGOFINLAND 12-31-2005 07:17 AM

I have a read! Fold turn?
 
My enemy in this hand is running better then Jesus. He is up around 40BB within 30mins. I have seen him raising only postflop, and every time it has been a good hand.
Few hands earlier he called two cold from CO with 66, sb threebet, three to flop. which was TT8 he called a bet turn was 6 he raised sb called turn and river and his QQ was no good.

Now the opponent limps UTG in 6 player 15/30.
SB calls aswell and I check on BB Kd Tc flop was 5s 5h Td I bet out he calls.
Turn Js I bet out he raises..

I have been trying to fold more on turn lately and less on river. Is the chance of some kind of draw here still too big? What if turn was Jh.


KING

jba 12-31-2005 07:45 AM

Re: I have a read! Fold turn?
 
6-2 on a calldown is two expensive. i think it's a good fold regardless of flush draws

first he has to have a flush draw often enough compared to the Jx hands or even 5x hands that he might be holding, and then he's not alwys going to make a move with that flush draw

if he's not an idiot he's doing a bit of hand reading and has to know you have something to bet out on that flop right? this is a value raise most of the time and IMO a bad spot to semibluff

yeah i fold here against this guy

Zele 12-31-2005 07:52 PM

Re: I have a read! Fold turn?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Few hands earlier he called two cold from CO with 66, sb threebet, three to flop. which was TT8 he called a bet turn was 6 he raised sb called turn and river and his QQ was no good.

[/ QUOTE ]

This doesn't seem like that great of a hand to develop a read from. It's not obviously incorrect preflop, and actually looks pretty good postflop. On the other hand, it's not obviously skilled either. In short, a lot of very different types of player would play it this way.

I think the fold is OK given the small pot.

Jesus has actually been losing his ass recently.

dave44 12-31-2005 08:59 PM

Re: I have a read! Fold turn?
 
I'm not folding this without a better read than that this guy runs good.


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