Do I need to fold here?
 

i have been losing a great deal lately, and it is messing with my head. villain here is 49/9/1.5, but i haven't played with him.

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (6 max, 4 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls.

Flop: (5 SB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Button calls.

Turn: (3.50 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Button calls.

River: (5.50 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, Hero?????????

Re: Do I need to fold here?
 

I call. He probably not as passive as he seems and board pairs tend to induce bluffs

Re: Do I need to fold here?
 

no way I'm folding

Re: Do I need to fold here?
 

never.

villain is not passive, AF of 1.5 for ~50% vpip is pretty substantial.

This will be a bluff or a Q more than often enough.

Re: Do I need to fold here?
 

3-bet and get called by 88 having a bluff at a queen.

Re: Do I need to fold here?
 

My head is in the wrong place too after getting shown the nuts here so many times lately but I think it still needs to be done.

Re: Do I need to fold here?
 

I think that you will be good much more often than 1 in 9 here. The ten on the river may or may not have helped his hand, but it didn't complete any draws and it serves as a good scare card to push you off of ace high. I would call with this board every time.

Dave

Re: Do I need to fold here?
 

Even my weak-tight self can't find a fold here.