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-   -   Minn @ GB (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=377953)

The Dude 11-14-2005 02:05 AM

Minn @ GB
 
Monday Night Football: Minnesota @ Green Bay
Minnesota +3.5 +101

Does this look like a good bet to anybody else?

11-14-2005 02:13 AM

Re: Minn @ GB
 
you're out of your element here dude. i actually like GB, just wish i could find it at -3. IMO, looks like Minnesota got lucky with their win over the Giants. they did not score an offensive TD. less than 20 yds rushing! meanwhile GB got a solid win against Atlanta. just my first instinct and i should probaly look beyond today's games.

The Dude 11-14-2005 02:17 AM

Re: Minn @ GB
 
[ QUOTE ]
looks like Minnesota got lucky with their win over the Giants.

[/ QUOTE ]
They absalutely did, there's no question about it. Minnesota sucks pretty badly. But then again, so do the Packers. Coming into this week, there were a lot of people who were calling them the worst team in the league, and I can't really say I blamed them. Granted, they pulled off a sweet victory this week, but they're nowhere near that good, and playing at Lambeaux Field just doesn't mean what it used to.

craig r 11-14-2005 02:23 AM

Re: Minn @ GB
 
Well, some of the squarer shops are already shading towards MIN. Bowmans has +4. The shops with squarer lines are usually pretty good at gauging public opinion. Of course +3.5 +101 and +4 -110 are pretty much the same line. So, I might just be babbling [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] .

craig

11-14-2005 02:23 AM

Re: Minn @ GB
 
so we're talking about two bad teams. home team gives 3 points so i guess the line is about right. GB did look good against a Falcon team that is supposed to be among the best in the NFC.

craig r 11-14-2005 02:25 AM

Re: Minn @ GB
 
[ QUOTE ]
home team gives 3 points

[/ QUOTE ]

3.5 points. big difference.

craig

The Dude 11-14-2005 07:18 AM

Re: Minn @ GB
 
[ QUOTE ]
Of course +3.5 +101 and +4 -110 are pretty much the same line.

[/ QUOTE ]
Really? +3.5 +101 looks more appealing to me. I'm really not an expert sports better by any means, so I could be wrong, but I would rather take that line than +4 -110.

craig r 11-14-2005 03:05 PM

Re: Minn @ GB
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Of course +3.5 +101 and +4 -110 are pretty much the same line.

[/ QUOTE ]
Really? +3.5 +101 looks more appealing to me. I'm really not an expert sports better by any means, so I could be wrong, but I would rather take that line than +4 -110.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are probably right. Going from the 3.5 to 4 is probably worth about 6-7 cents. So, the "same line" would be +3.5 +101 and +4 -105. Somebody with better math than me would be able to tell me how many cents this is worth.

craig

McGahee 11-14-2005 04:04 PM

Re: Minn @ GB
 
Ehh, I know Lambeau isn't that intimidating anymore but I'd expect the Pack to be real fired up after the last 2 games vs. Minn. Seems like a pretty straightforward "take the home team in the battle of 2 bad teams" game, which nobody seemed to do in the first game this year when everybody picked GB, who was inexplicably a road favorite in that game.

jedinite 11-14-2005 04:19 PM

Re: Minn @ GB
 
*ahem*

Tice Rule

You'll thank me later. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]


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