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-   -   PS 500K T9 against likely steal? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=359659)

locutus2002 10-17-2005 07:12 PM

PS 500K T9 against likely steal?
 
~30 players left (minibubble)

villain has been playing TAG. And has moved all in about once an orbit, his stack has hovered around 120K for some time. He went all in uncontested the previous hand.

Costs me 119K to win 178K. Hero's stack of 238K is in the top half of the remaining players. I'm probably only 33% in the hand getting 3:2 in the pot (CEV-), but a win here would put me in the running for the tournament, and most likely move me past the large pay increase from $2600-$4500 at 18th place.

PokerStars Game #2821802288: Tournament #13240891, Hold'em No Limit - Level XX (10000/20000) - 2005/10/16 - 21:58:01 (ET)
Table '13240891 29' Seat #4 is the button
Seat 2: ttafs (384851 in chips)
Seat 3: joeaces (350183 in chips)
Seat 4: lakefront (140040 in chips)
Seat 5: Lagget (121717 in chips)
Seat 6: Locutus2002 (238632 in chips)
Seat 7: Mafews (180536 in chips)
Seat 9: bzola (293518 in chips)
ttafs: posts the ante 1000
joeaces: posts the ante 1000
lakefront: posts the ante 1000
Lagget: posts the ante 1000
Locutus2002: posts the ante 1000
Mafews: posts the ante 1000
bzola: posts the ante 1000
Lagget: posts small blind 10000
Locutus2002: posts big blind 20000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Locutus2002 [9d Ts]
joeaces said, "u were waiting lake"
Mafews: folds
bzola: folds
ttafs: folds
joeaces: folds
lakefront: raises 119040 to 139040 and is all-in
Lagget: folds

10-17-2005 07:17 PM

Re: PS 500K T9 against likely steal?
 
I don't think your odds are good enough to justify this call.

SoSo 10-17-2005 07:31 PM

Re: PS 500K T9 against likely steal?
 
3:2/60:40...looks like a race and the odds support it.


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