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-   -   Pushing AK Preflop (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=360231)

mason55 10-18-2005 03:23 PM

Pushing AK Preflop
 
I almost never push AK preflop. In fact, I can't remember a single time that I have done it in the past 2 months. Moving up to the 100's, however, I find things to be a little more loose and aggressive. This is the first time that I felt really comfortable pushing AK preflop.

Table history: I've been here 20 minutes. 10 minutes ago seat two pushed into me preflop when I had AA. He left and a new seat two sat down. This is the villain in this hand.

5 minutes ago I was UTG+1. I made it $4 with QJs. Villain called. I flopped the nut straight, we got it all in on the flop and he showed KT for flopped two pair.

2 minutes ago I was SB. UTG made it $2 (he was doing this almost every hand. Button called I made it $7 with AQs to take it down. Villain made it $12. Me and UTG both called. Flop came T8T, I check, villain bets pot, we both fold.

So on to the current hand.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Hero ($247.50)
Button ($125.90)
SB ($31.97)
BB ($59.65)
UTG ($63.90)
MP ($65.70)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.50.

UTG calls, MP folds, Hero raises to $4, Villain raises to $25, SB folds, BB folds, UTG folds, MP folds, Hero pushes for $250, Villain calls all in


Look standard? Since I feel like villain is playing back to me this is a pretty good time to push right?

Isura 10-18-2005 03:26 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
Your table history is not enough information to think he is playing back IMO. Fold to the reraise preflop. I'd also make it 5-6 preflop since I want to isolate the 60bb stack with this hand.

Edit: I find in the $100 game, players will rarely raise $25 preflop and fold to a push.

rikz 10-18-2005 03:41 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
I never go all-in over a re-raiser in a cash game with AK just because I don't like my chances if I'm called. Especially if villain is laggy, because he just might call with TT, JJ, or QQ as often as KK or AA - all of which have me behind preflop.

Since I don't like pushing, I'd be inclined to fold to the $25 reraise. If I really thought villain was overplaying his hands and making too many continuation bets with 2nd pair, gutshots, or over cards, then I'd call the reraise preflop and then check/fold if I miss the flop, or check/raise significantly (up to all-in) if I hit TPTK (in which case I'd be screwed if my read was wrong and he really DID have AA or KK this time).

mason55 10-18-2005 03:42 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
Wow. I figured this would be a perfect spot. He has shown he's a donkey (he 4-bet-pushed with bottom two when I raised PF on an AKT board) and he's shown that he's aggressive PF (3 betting a caller and a raiser).

What situations DO you look for when pushing AK PF because, like I said, this seems perfect.

10-18-2005 03:45 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
I cant ever rationalize pushing AK pf without having tournament chips in front of me. Something about the fact that I will almost always have a better spot to stack them later just makes me not want to do it.

Is this weak-tight?

mason55 10-18-2005 03:48 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
I never go all-in over a re-raiser in a cash game with AK just because I don't like my chances if I'm called. Especially if villain is laggy, because he just might call with TT, JJ, or QQ as often as KK or AA - all of which have me behind preflop.

Since I don't like pushing, I'd be inclined to fold to the $25 reraise. If I really thought villain was overplaying his hands and making too many continuation bets with 2nd pair, gutshots, or over cards, then I'd call the reraise preflop and then check/fold if I miss the flop, or check/raise significantly (up to all-in) if I hit TPTK (in which case I'd be screwed if my read was wrong and he really DID have AA or KK this time).

[/ QUOTE ]

I think calling his re-raise is REALLY bad. Here's the thing. If you're going to get it all in on an A or K high flop ANYWAYS, what good does flat callling do you? AK wants to see all 5 cards against an underpair and your chances of getting paid off by QQ/JJ/TT go down drastically with an A or K out there. Also, if he's willing to stack with AQ it will be much easier to do it PF than postflop.

mason55 10-18-2005 03:49 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
I cant ever rationalize pushing AK pf without having tournament chips in front of me. Something about the fact that I will almost always have a better spot to stack them later just makes me not want to do it.

Is this weak-tight?

[/ QUOTE ]

That's what I'm trying to find out. I haven't seen a good, mathematically based coherant argument that pushing is bad.

amoeba 10-18-2005 03:50 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
I almost always fold to the raise to 25.

Is your push attempting to avoid a coinflip/split pot or to get value off an ultra lag?

Isura 10-18-2005 03:50 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
Wow. I figured this would be a perfect spot. He has shown he's a donkey (he 4-bet-pushed with bottom two when I raised PF on an AKT board) and he's shown that he's aggressive PF (3 betting a caller and a raiser).

What situations DO you look for when pushing AK PF because, like I said, this seems perfect.

[/ QUOTE ]

But you cannot be certain that his postflop aggressiveness and looseness directly translate to preflop aggression. And the thing about seeing him 3-bet preflop before, well that could have just been a good hand... Since you haven't seen him get out of line 3-betting preflop yet, this play is pretty risky. I would no doubt push if I thought he was doing this with junk a lot of the time.

There are spots to push AK preflop. This situation most often occurs when the villain has 50bb or less. In a cash game, I find the value of pushing AK preflop comes from when dominated hands call, not from FE, and dominated aces don't call often enough with deep stacks from my experience.

mason55 10-18-2005 03:53 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
I almost always fold to the raise to 25.

Is your push attempting to avoid a coinflip/split pot or to get value off an ultra lag?

[/ QUOTE ]

Value off of what seems to be a fish/lag.

ajmargarine 10-18-2005 03:54 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
Beat the donkeys after the flop, not preflop.

I push AK alot, but it's always against those dreaded shortstacks that hang around with <30bb's and try to limp/minraise into every pot. I don't remember the last time I did it against a normal stack.

Given your little history that you gave us...it's still hard to say whether to push or not. If you thought you were good, and didn't mind taking a potential coinflip, then go for it. (I hate the term coinflip btw, you are behind all pp's except 22, which I think is an actual coinflip)

I don't like variance, so I probably fold this and if the situation would come up real similar again, then I might be more inclined to push.

Isura 10-18-2005 03:55 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I cant ever rationalize pushing AK pf without having tournament chips in front of me. Something about the fact that I will almost always have a better spot to stack them later just makes me not want to do it.

Is this weak-tight?

[/ QUOTE ]

That's what I'm trying to find out. I haven't seen a good, mathematically based coherant argument that pushing is bad.

[/ QUOTE ]

One can do the EV calculation...

1) WHat % of hands he raises to $25 folds to a push?
2) What range of hands does he call a push with.

Then do the trivial calculation using pokerstove and a hand calculator.

I think the % in 1) is very low. And the range in 2) is not as tight as you would think. Try out some combinations and see the results. The answer might be illuminating.

amoeba 10-18-2005 03:55 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I almost always fold to the raise to 25.

Is your push attempting to avoid a coinflip/split pot or to get value off an ultra lag?

[/ QUOTE ]

Value off of what seems to be a fish/lag.

[/ QUOTE ]

so calculate what range he would have to reraise with to make this push profitable.

Off the top of my head, you basically need him to be reraising AQ, AJ here and be willing to call AQ, AJ here to make this push profitable.

mason55 10-18-2005 03:55 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
In a cash game, I find the value of pushing AK preflop comes from when dominated hands call, not from FE, and dominated aces don't call often enough with deep stacks from my experience.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is exactly the situation I was going for. I didn't WANT FE, I wanted him to call, knowing I was almost for sure either a coinflip OR way ahead. I'm not afraid of the variance of flipping a coin for $150.

mason55 10-18-2005 03:57 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I almost always fold to the raise to 25.

Is your push attempting to avoid a coinflip/split pot or to get value off an ultra lag?

[/ QUOTE ]

Value off of what seems to be a fish/lag.

[/ QUOTE ]

so calculate what range he would have to reraise with to make this push profitable.

Off the top of my head, you basically need him to be reraising AQ, AJ here and be willing to call AQ, AJ here to make this push profitable.

[/ QUOTE ]

Interesting. I thought I just needed AQ. I guess I'll have to think about this some more.

So the consensus is just fold to the $25? Calling is obviously pretty bad.

ajmargarine 10-18-2005 04:05 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
I didn't WANT FE,

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah you do. FE can make the difference between this being marginal/borderline and +EV.

RED FACE 10-18-2005 04:11 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
yeah, I reckon, like the others, this is very wrong. If you don't want FE what hands is he calling with that you're ahead of? AQs. Nothing else really. If he's a super donk and will call w A7s you will undoubtable get his money later anyway so there's no need to take this shot when you are not possitive. The only great thing about this push is fold equity vs 88-QQ and AK. If you run into AA or KK which are the most likely calls then you will suffer massive losses of course. This is hardly a coin flip. The history you provided does suggest that you could be way ahead here but the question is how can you play it profitably from this point. The only way is by folding I think. Like others have said you need to confirm him as a super donk preflop before you jam this. Then, you can be confident he will be calling w AXs enough time to make up for your disadvantage when he has 88-AA.

mason55 10-18-2005 04:12 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I didn't WANT FE,

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah you do. FE can make the difference between this being marginal/borderline and +EV.

[/ QUOTE ]

I meant that in the sense that it wasn't my MAIN reason for pushing. Obviously I like it if KK->22 folds and everything calls.

Anyways, it looks like a hand I thought I played pretty well was actually pretty butchered. Glad I posted this.

Oh yeah, I flopped an Ace and took out his QQ.

TheWorstPlayer 10-18-2005 04:55 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
Whoa I just fold to big preflop re-raise OOP with AK. Maybe this is +EV but he is almost never folding a pair here so it comes down to the usual question of whether or not he will call all in with AQ/AJ. If he will, the push is obviously +EV but if he wont then I dont really like it. He probably has a pair lower than KK and he probably wont fold it. I prefer bigger edges.

mason55 10-18-2005 05:00 PM

Re: Pushing AK Preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
Whoa I just fold to big preflop re-raise OOP with AK. Maybe this is +EV but he is almost never folding a pair here so it comes down to the usual question of whether or not he will call all in with AQ/AJ. If he will, the push is obviously +EV but if he wont then I dont really like it. He probably has a pair lower than KK and he probably wont fold it. I prefer bigger edges.

[/ QUOTE ]

Cool. I usually do lay this down without a second thought. I think I just got caught up in the moment since I was on a rush and villain and I had clashed hard 2 out of the last 4 hands and he was an unknown who seemed crazy.

I will got back to continuing to lay this down to the 3 bet.


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