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-   -   My doooces (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=366025)

tiltaholic 10-26-2005 04:31 PM

My doooces
 

Hello.

Help!

I've been at the table for a few orbits.

UTG is a somewhat loose and very aggressive player (say like 28/16), MP2 is a bad player like (40/1), MP3 seems to be good, solid, and aggressive (and so far is like 24/15 but only after 25 hands or so and seems to be getting good cards). BB limps too much and is fairly passive overall but hasn't done anything remarkable so far.

Full ring 1/2

Fishaholic is SB with 2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

UTG raises, folded to MP2 calls two cold, MP3 3-bets, Hero calls??...

milesdyson 10-26-2005 04:36 PM

Re: My doooces
 
nope.

10-26-2005 04:37 PM

Re: My doooces
 
4 handed I think you can call one raise here but not two. Looks like you will get paid off when you hit a set, but I think it's too many bets to make up, esp if it gets capped.

WalkAmongUs 10-26-2005 04:37 PM

Re: My doooces
 
FOLD. Calling 2 cold is marginal in this situation. Calling for 3 bets (even though you have .5 bet discount) is throwing money away.

Redd 10-26-2005 04:41 PM

Re: My doooces
 
You're putting in 2.5SB if it gets called and 3.5SB if it gets capped. Say it gets capped 1/3 of the time, so you're putting in on average 2.8SB.

Since sets hold up about 75% of the time, you're ~10:1 to be best by the river). So unless we're fairly confident the pot will be >=28SB or 14BB (and IMO we can't be here), I'd dump it. I like a fold.

edit: This is also neglecting the reverse implied odds of hitting your set and paying to show a second best hand, which makes the required final pot size even bigger.

Shillx 10-26-2005 04:53 PM

Re: My doooces
 
Your getting 5:1 if the BB calls.... [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img]

That is pretty tempting, and I would call when I'm drunk. Since I'm sober now I'd just throw it away. If you knew that the BB would call and UTG would call then I'd call.

And I'm working on fixing that leak. At least the part about me being sober. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

lautzutao 10-26-2005 04:54 PM

Re: My doooces
 
Can't call this unless you're 100% sure BB is coming along.

lautzutao 10-26-2005 04:57 PM

Re: My doooces
 
How many bets we call is irrelevant. How many players we have calling is.

10-26-2005 04:59 PM

Re: My doooces
 
[ QUOTE ]
How many bets we call is irrelevant. How many players we have calling is.

[/ QUOTE ]

Umm, no.

lautzutao 10-26-2005 05:01 PM

Re: My doooces
 
since when are 5:1 and 20:4 different?


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