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-   -   When (& if) to release Trip A's?? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=395185)

HouseCalls 12-09-2005 08:30 PM

When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
 
PokerStars 0.25/0.50 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: HouseCalls is SB with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls, Button calls, <font color="#CC3333">HouseCalls raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls, MP1 calls, CO calls, Button calls.

Flop: (11 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>

I'm happy with this flop. Thought about check raising hoping for a late bet to trap the field for 2 bets but since I rasied I thought it might get checked around so...

<font color="#CC3333">HouseCalls bets</font>, UTG calls, MP1 calls, CO calls, Button calls.

Turn: (8 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
My enthusiasm is beginning to fade...

<font color="#CC3333">HouseCalls bets</font>, UTG folds, MP1 calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, Button calls, HouseCalls calls, MP1 calls.

2nd hand at this table so I have no reads yet; didn't think I could give this up without more proof I was beat.

River: (16 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
My hand's better but not good enough to beat the posssible straight I was worried about. I was willing to play for 1 bet but did not want to be faced with a raise. Too weak??

HouseCalls checks, MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, HouseCalls calls, MP1 calls, CO calls.
Final Pot: 24 BB

At this point I figured I was pretty much dead (hard to believe that neither CO or button has the straight). Should I have saved the last 2 bets or was the pot too big to fold here?

My basic questions - should I have given up top pair/set here and if so when?

milesdyson 12-09-2005 08:35 PM

Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
 
before we talk about the river, let's first notice that you can not fold the turn with TP and oesd.

maybe we'll talk about the river later [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

12-09-2005 09:11 PM

Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
 
You may save 2 bets by folding the river, but how many more than that do you lose to subsequent tilt when CO turns over two pair and button turns over an Ace with a lower kicker?

This is an easy call with a pot that big.

DCWildcat 12-09-2005 09:23 PM

Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
 
I'd raise 500x faster than I fold the turn. Not because of any merits of raising, either. Folding the turn would be the worst mistake in poker.

I don't want to be an ass, but folding the river is really, really bad. You would have heard from a higher kicker by now. Only 3 straights beat you. You'll be shown an ugly and stupidly played two pair way too often to make that fold.

Bet/call the river.

tyler_cracker 12-09-2005 09:52 PM

Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
 
Let's 3-bet the turn while we have MP1 and Button trapped. If CO caps, we can slow down after that. Hot or not?

12-09-2005 10:33 PM

Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
 
Is raising this hand preflop a good idea in SB, are we just raising for value here with all the limpers for when we hit?

But other than that, I agree that you cannot fold this hand on the turn or the river. OESD on the turn with top pair, then trips with a good kicker on the river, I dont fold this in either spots, maybe 3 bet the turn...

tyler_cracker 12-09-2005 10:39 PM

Re: When (&amp; if) to release Trip A\'s??
 
Ed Miller has an article somewhere where he says that failing to raise ATs is a bigger mistake than raising 72o.

The preflop raise is for value, as you noted. We have a hand that plays well multiway. Our position sucks, but we would be giving up too much of our equity edge to just complete here.

HouseCalls 12-09-2005 10:42 PM

Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
 
[ QUOTE ]
let's first notice that you can not fold the turn with TP and oesd.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah yeah I agree you can't fold here but some percentage of the "outs to the oesd" are outs to a split pot so I think the bet/call approach is ok. Do you think a rasie is either for value or will buy outs - probably not.

tyler_cracker 12-09-2005 10:47 PM

Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
 
[ QUOTE ]
yeah yeah I agree you can't fold here but some percentage of the "outs to the oesd" are outs to a split pot

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you think all 4 callers on the turn have a T?

HouseCalls 12-09-2005 10:58 PM

Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
 
[ QUOTE ]
Do you think all 4 callers on the turn have a T?

[/ QUOTE ]

Nope but what percentage of the time do u think I am still ahead after CO raises my turn bet? I'm not thinking of reraising here unles I pretty sure I'm still ahead. Is that weak thinking? Should I reraise unless I know I'm behind? - If so why? it doesn't seem to be for value and I think only hands I already beat will fold.


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