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-   -   value vs pot control (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=359817)

etizzle 10-17-2005 11:25 PM

value vs pot control
 
this one didnt feel right. In fact i think every street may be wrong as i look back on it.

Villain seems weakish and maybe tight postflop but loose preflop,and has down things like call out 'AJs' before calling a medium sized raise preflop in a multiway pot. So theres a decent chance hes a moron, but I havent seen him make any crazy plays yet.

preflop raiser is TAG so far from what i've seen.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1000 Hero (6 max, 6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

MP ($1314)
CO ($970)
Button ($754.25)
SB ($2114.75)
Hero ($1897)
UTG ($1017.25)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $5.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $35</font>, CO calls $35, Button calls $35, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls $25.

Flop: ($145) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP checks, CO checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $80</font>, Hero calls $80, MP folds, CO folds.

Turn: ($305) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $100</font>, Hero calls $100.

River: ($505) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $175</font>

tdarko 10-17-2005 11:39 PM

Re: value vs pot control
 
why didn't you raise the turn?

etizzle 10-17-2005 11:46 PM

Re: value vs pot control
 
I didnt think he would call a checkraise without AQ beat.

tdarko 10-17-2005 11:51 PM

Re: value vs pot control
 
[ QUOTE ]
I didnt think he would call a checkraise without AQ beat.

[/ QUOTE ]
so instead you call two streets and then make a river bet w/o knowing if your AQ is good?

outdrwn 10-18-2005 12:00 AM

Re: value vs pot control
 
I like calling preflop, and maybe the check on the flop, but you either need to lay the hammer down on the turn(c/r the pot), or just flat out bet. If he's still around by the river, I still think your ahead and need to value bet this, whatever you think he will call. A raise on the river, or a re-raise on the turn would cause me to dump the hand without much more thinking. Results?

erc007 10-18-2005 01:04 AM

Re: value vs pot control
 
I think that if you put him on the flush draw, you have to raise the turn...he's either going to have you beat, or he's not going to pay you off when the river comes down. If you put him on a weaker ace (a dangerous read which you have to be certain about) you should make him pay more as well...what was the hand range that you put him on as the hand progressed...?

Allinlife 10-18-2005 01:49 AM

Re: value vs pot control
 
what are you trying to accomplish with that river bet sir?

etizzle 10-18-2005 02:04 AM

Re: value vs pot control
 
to block him from making a bigger bet, and trying to get value from worse As.

scdavis0 10-18-2005 04:07 AM

Re: value vs pot control
 
Flop and turn are just fine.

On the river, I'd either bet more (slightly more than 1/2 pot) or check and evaluate his river action.

I was villain with AK here I'd have very little trouble reading your hand and would put in a raise. If I had gotten to the river with some hand that I didn't think had either AQ or AJ beat, I might just move in on you expecting you to fold (although with his stack size that would be a pretty crazy bluff).

That's why if you are going to bet that river, you need to bet more. A larger bet will freeze up AK and prevent someone from making a play at you (because who's to say you don't have AT?).

AZK 10-18-2005 12:11 PM

Re: value vs pot control
 
I like the bet, it looks like a "I don't want to pay more than 175 bet" which I would probably make here...If you check, how much does villain bet?


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