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-   -   red 88...play along with me (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=386603)

PokerBob 11-28-2005 03:25 AM

red 88...play along with me
 
Canterbury 15/30 9 handed
UTG+1 is the only decent player in the game. UTG limps, UTG+1 limps, UTG+2 limps, 1 fold, 2 more limpers to me on the button with 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and I......state what you do and why.

imported_stealthcow 11-28-2005 03:43 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
you gotta raise. you're getting somewhere between 6-7 to 1 and dont need much more to get odds to raise for equity along. include your postflop edge, and you should raise it up. also, making the pot bigger on the flop will occasionally make it okay for you to draw again on the flop where if you just limp you wont have the odds.

stealthcow-

Entity 11-28-2005 03:47 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
[ QUOTE ]
also, making the pot bigger on the flop will occasionally make it okay for you to draw again on the flop where if you just limp you wont have the odds.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why is that a good thing? I don't disagree with a raise here but I really don't like it when people post that you should bloat the pot preflop so that you help yourself find the turn.

Rob

Joe Tall 11-28-2005 03:50 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
Sometimes I limp, most of the time I raise. It's a great time to mix up your play in an EV neutral situation.

imported_stealthcow 11-28-2005 03:53 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
to be 100% honest, the idea of bloating the pot has been one of the things i have planned on looking into if its worth it or not in terms of increasing your equity becuase you'll be in fighting for a pot that you normally wouldn't be in. so i haven't done the math yet, but i think* it is either a completely =ev play that only increases your variance, or slightly +ev. but that doesn't include the amount of times both blinds fold, blanks flop and your continuation bet narrows down the field. ( although thats rare as well, and pretty slight if the opponents are as i suspect)

stealthcow-

Entity 11-28-2005 03:54 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
[ QUOTE ]
Sometimes I limp, most of the time I raise. It's a great time to mix up your play in an EV neutral situation.

[/ QUOTE ]

FWIW, I think I'm almost exactly the opposite. Of course, this is online. Live I think I'd be more inclined to raise and online I'm more inclined to limp -- I'm probably about 75/25 limping/raising here.

Rob

NLSoldier 11-28-2005 03:58 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
[ QUOTE ]
Sometimes I limp, most of the time I raise. It's a great time to mix up your play in an EV neutral situation.

[/ QUOTE ]

Surfbullet 11-28-2005 05:13 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Sometimes I limp, most of the time I raise. It's a great time to mix up your play in an EV neutral situation.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

Me2. what's the flop? maybe you flopped a set! That'd be awesome.

Surf

NLSoldier 11-28-2005 05:13 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Sometimes I limp, most of the time I raise. It's a great time to mix up your play in an EV neutral situation.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

Me2. what's the flop? maybe you flopped a set! That'd be awesome.

Surf

[/ QUOTE ]

my guess is that hes gonna turn one.

DeathDonkey 11-28-2005 05:24 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Sometimes I limp, most of the time I raise. It's a great time to mix up your play in an EV neutral situation.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

Me2. what's the flop? maybe you flopped a set! That'd be awesome.

Surf

[/ QUOTE ]

my guess is that hes gonna turn one.

[/ QUOTE ]

And still lose [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

I raise preflop - raising is fun.

-DeathDonkey

TJD 11-28-2005 06:08 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
I would normally limp.

I would raise if the field were weak and passive since I may get a "free" 4th card to spike my set and that "cost" would be close to zero due to the preflop odds. If I hit I have more money in the pot of course.

If the field were more normal then I would limp. I hate variance. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

The disclaimer is that I have never played live so I do not know how important it is to mix it up.

I suspect this is yet another of those millions of situations in poker where whatever you do you will be close to neutral EV. So it matters not a jot! So.... Do ya feel lucky punk? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

T

Jules22 11-28-2005 06:35 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
i like raising here for two reasons especially

1. you tie big cards to the pot more often when you flop your set, and often, they are drawing virtually dead

2. if the flop has overcards or is otherwise unfavorable, you can get a free card for a chance to spike the set

TaintedRogue 11-28-2005 06:38 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
I raise due to the culmination of three factors:
1. I'm getting good odds on my draw to a set.
2. My opponents may check to me on the Flop, giving me a free card if I don't flop a set.
3. I may get a blind or two to fold.

NLSoldier 11-28-2005 08:08 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
[ QUOTE ]
I raise due to the culmination of three factors:
1. I'm getting good odds on my draw to a set.
2. My opponents may check to me on the Flop, giving me a free card if I don't flop a set.
3. I may get a blind or two to fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

I was with you until #3. In the cb 15 game the blinds are folding approximately 0% of the time.

lil feller 11-28-2005 08:51 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
Most of the time i'd limp. I don't want to put myself on anybodys radar, and I want to see if anybody behind me as a 2 bet hand. There are already so many people in this pot you can really only play this hand for set value anyway, and i'd like to be able to get in some good old fashioned ramming if I hit.

In addition to that, if you limp and you flop an overpair, or maybe there's just one over card, you're less likely to get checked too and it'll be easier to determine whether or not your pair is still good.

Keep in mind, this is what I'd do. You, however, are DERG, and you will never flop a set here for you this is a clear fold.

smiles,

lf

smurfitup 11-28-2005 09:43 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I raise due to the culmination of three factors:
1. I'm getting good odds on my draw to a set.
2. My opponents may check to me on the Flop, giving me a free card if I don't flop a set.
3. I may get a blind or two to fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

I was with you until #3. In the cb 15 game the blinds are folding approximately 0% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

why would you want the blinds to fold? most of the value 88 has in one of these loose live games is for a set. i'd rather have the blinds in there and make it less correct for everyone to draw on the flop when you do in fact flop a set.

brettbrettr 11-28-2005 10:13 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
I'd just call here and take a look at the flop. A raise will shrink the field and with this many guys I don't see us winning u/i very often at all.

BoxLiquid 11-28-2005 10:29 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
I usually limp but now that I look at the posts. Raising is not a bad idea. There are like 5 limpers and you're like a 7.5-1 dog. If you hit your set the players will be encouraged to keep playing and take a look at the next card since the pot is huge.
And the possibility of a free turn card makes it +ev.

brettbrettr 11-28-2005 10:47 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
[ QUOTE ]
I usually limp but now that I look at the posts. Raising is not a bad idea.

[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed.

sfer 11-28-2005 10:55 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
I would raise 33 most of the time. Anyone disagree?

BigEndian 11-28-2005 11:52 AM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
If players routinely check to the bettor on this table then this is an easy raise in my opinion.

- Jim

PokerBob 11-28-2005 12:03 PM

the flop
 
Canterbury 15/30 9 handed
UTG+1 is the only decent player in the game. UTG limps, UTG+1 limps, UTG+2 limps, 1 fold, 2 more limpers to me on the button with 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and I decided to limp. IMO it doesn't matter much either way. Of course the SB came along and the BB checked.

Flop (8 players) (8 SB): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
blinds check, UTG bets, UTG+1 folds, 3 more guys call and now it's up to me, I.......

BigEndian 11-28-2005 12:19 PM

Re: the flop
 
Raise.

- Jim

mack848 11-28-2005 12:27 PM

Re: the flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
Raise.

- Jim

[/ QUOTE ]

and your reasoning?

BigEndian 11-28-2005 12:36 PM

Re: the flop
 
1. You possibly have the best hand.
2. You want to kick out the blinds and improve your chances of winning.
3. You want to define your hand.
4. Even if you don't have the best hand, you likely have enough equity to make raising the meat in the middle valuable.
5. You have position and can take a free card on the turn if you choose (and haven't been 3-bet).

Those outweigh the chances of getting 3-bet imo.

- Jim

SA125 11-28-2005 01:58 PM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
I like raising 88 there, more than I like raising AKo there, for two reasons. Metagame and implied odds. The cost is minimal to continue to play aggressive with position with a hand that would be well disguised.

11-28-2005 02:10 PM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
when I think about "bloating the pot", the first thing I consider is the opponents I am up against. The whole idea of bloating the pot is to induce people to chase on weak hands/draws that they wouldnt chase in a smaller pot. But if you are against a bunch of bad players who are going to chase with these same hands regardless of the pot size then theres less incentive to raise. So the worse the players are the less likely I will raise 88 in this specific situation, and the better they are the more likely Im building the pot with a raise. Also if I am convinced that the table will always check to the raiser postflop, then I would probably raise it up since the EV difference between raising and calling is close to zero, raising becomes better becuz you get to see 4 cards (if you chose to take a free card) instead of 3 cards. With no reads on the table I would probably just call.

Victor 11-28-2005 02:56 PM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
doesnt really matter but i raise bc raising is fun.

Victor 11-28-2005 03:00 PM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
[ QUOTE ]
to be 100% honest, the idea of bloating the pot has been one of the things i have planned on looking into if its worth it or not in terms of increasing your equity

[/ QUOTE ]

its not worth it. common fallacy tho.

sometimes when im bluff 3bet the pot is so big that its worth it for me to bluff 5bet, then i might as well bluff 7bet and eventually the pot is so big that i figure i oughta call with my queen high. ya know, cuz i made the pot huge.

sometimes im getting 10:1 on the flop with a gutterball but i know i wont be getting very good odds on the turn and i really wanna see the river so i just go ahead an cap it out on the flop so i can see the river bc i hate folding and i should win like every pot.

Victor 11-28-2005 03:04 PM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
a few quick points.

raising is better against passive opponents since they will check to you and its easier for you to get to showdown unimproved with the best hand.

raising, however, hurts your earn when you flop sets, since players wont give you mcuh action.
edit: this is not true for this examle since there are gonna be so many callers that you are getting close to the requisite 8:1. however, if the pot was gonna be 3-5way it would hold

raising helps your earn when you win unimproved since you are taking advantage of an immediate equity edge.

worm33 11-28-2005 03:08 PM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
[ QUOTE ]
i like raising here for two reasons especially

1. you tie big cards to the pot more often when you flop your set, and often, they are drawing virtually dead

2. if the flop has overcards or is otherwise unfavorable, you can get a free card for a chance to spike the set

[/ QUOTE ]


This is perfect, especialy in the canterbury 15 where if you raise the field on the button at least 65% of the time they check to you. How often do you make a set when you get to see 4 cards an extra 65% of the time?

worm33 11-28-2005 03:10 PM

Re: the flop
 
i would call and see the turn unless the flop leader is the type to 3 bet a pair+draw and knock out the 2 flop callers.

Yads 11-28-2005 04:36 PM

Re: the flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
Canterbury 15/30 9 handed
UTG+1 is the only decent player in the game. UTG limps, UTG+1 limps, UTG+2 limps, 1 fold, 2 more limpers to me on the button with 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and I decided to limp. IMO it doesn't matter much either way. Of course the SB came along and the BB checked.

Flop (8 players) (8 SB): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
blinds check, UTG bets, UTG+1 folds, 3 more guys call and now it's up to me, I.......

[/ QUOTE ]

Tough decision, i'm not convinced your equity is big enough on the flop to push with a raise and you can't effectively protect your hand. I like just a call here.

Joe Tall 11-28-2005 04:53 PM

Re: the flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
Flop (8 players) (8 SB): 4 5 7
blinds check, UTG bets, UTG+1 folds, 3 more guys call and now it's up to me, I.......

[/ QUOTE ]

It's extremely drawn out, UTG is solid so I assume he can/will 3-bet, not many to get rid of in the blinds, just call.

PokerBob 11-28-2005 04:55 PM

Re: the flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Flop (8 players) (8 SB): 4 5 7
blinds check, UTG bets, UTG+1 folds, 3 more guys call and now it's up to me, I.......

[/ QUOTE ]

It's extremely drawn out, UTG is solid so I assume he can/will 3-bet, not many to get rid of in the blinds, just call.

[/ QUOTE ]

UTG+1 is solid and folded, UTG is retarded.

coolhandkuhn 11-28-2005 05:06 PM

Re: the flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
Canterbury 15/30 9 handed
UTG+1 is the only decent player in the game. UTG limps, UTG+1 limps, UTG+2 limps, 1 fold, 2 more limpers to me on the button with 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and I decided to limp. IMO it doesn't matter much either way. Of course the SB came along and the BB checked.

Flop (8 players) (8 SB): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
blinds check, UTG bets, UTG+1 folds, 3 more guys call and now it's up to me, I.......

[/ QUOTE ]

Call. A raise here gives the next guy to act 7:1 on their call, and anyone who's already called 1 bet is getting 14+:1 to call behind you (read: you're not getting anyone out that has any kind of draw against you). Not to mention that we can't be sure we're best right now (though I do like our hand). I call, wait to see what the turn brings, and go from there. A raise here just bloats the pot w/o getting anyone to fold, lessening your chances of getting anyone to fold on the turn.

DeathDonkey 11-28-2005 05:08 PM

Re: the flop
 
Then you pretty much need to raise, you can't count on him betting the turn for you.

-DeathDonkey

Joe Tall 11-28-2005 05:13 PM

Re: the flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
Then you pretty much need to raise, you can't count on him betting the turn for you.


[/ QUOTE ]

His hand is also too vulnerable to overcards and the MPs aren't going anywhere, still call.

NLSoldier 11-28-2005 05:20 PM

Re: the flop
 
Call.

KramerTM 11-28-2005 05:31 PM

Re: red 88...play along with me
 
With 5 limpers already, this is an easy raise for me. I'm looking to cash in if I flop a set, or at least get a free turn card if I miss.

Calling isn't bad either, but I'd be more inclined to just call here against opponents who like to jam after the flop.


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