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-   -   How far do you go with weak overpair? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=399119)

RikaKazak 12-15-2005 05:29 PM

How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
Villian is a 25/9 with AF of 3 after 49 hands. I'm playing semi tight, probably a 24/12, I c-bet heads up 99% of the time heads up, and 3 way about 60% of the time. The villian and I have yet to be in a hand together.

NL 400 partypoker 6 max

fold, villian limps, hero raises to $25 with black T's, folded to villian who calls.

flop comes 863 with club draw. villian checks I bet $40 into $55 pot, villian check raises to $90, hero? it's $50 more to call. stack sizes $400.

tommo 12-15-2005 05:35 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
I think you ought to call.

You aren't going to see a cheap showdown unless your opponent is semibluffing (which makes me lean towards call). If you don't see a cheap showdown TT is probably not going to be good.

However, I think villain might be doing this with any small pocket pair, guessing that you missed your overcards. Given that you have position here I think I actually call and hope for an A or K.

tommo 12-15-2005 07:00 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
I'm curious how other people will respond to this one.so I'm bumping it.

emil3000 12-15-2005 07:07 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
You know these spots are so tough, I still don't have a good line, especially against tighter players. I probably call and make a decision on the turn depending on bet size, which card fell and the likes. I don't see myself calling another street, it's probably push or fold if he leads the turn. Always ugly though.

BobboFitos 12-15-2005 07:12 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
call

Rotating Rabbit 12-15-2005 07:31 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
horrible spot because the times when u arent already behind villians at 2/4 will probably semi bluff again with clubs. small chance he gives up if on clubs tho, and small chance hes shutting down with 1 pair after u call, probably combined make the 20% or so u need to call.

zeero3 12-15-2005 08:12 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
I haven't played 400 6max for a while, but I'd drop this on the flop like it's hot. But that's PRIMARILY because 1) I don't want to see a turn OR river and 2) you showed much strenth so far and it looks like he WANTS you to call him.

RikaKazak 12-16-2005 05:12 AM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
Thing is, I pfr a fair amount, and almost ALWAYS c-bet heads up, so for me, this line hasn't showed much "real" strength.

cardsharkk04 12-16-2005 06:56 AM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
I don't mind a push here, especially because a lot of the bad players will still call anyway with the flush draw.

xorbie 12-16-2005 07:05 AM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
you showed much strenth so far and it looks like he WANTS you to call him.

[/ QUOTE ]

such strength? no.

[ QUOTE ]

I don't mind a push here, especially because a lot of the bad players will still call anyway with the flush draw.

[/ QUOTE ]

gambooling on this flop against a flush draw is not nearly as +EV as you seem to suspect, against the range of villains likely flush draws here we are not very good, they are either pair + flush draw, straight + flush draw or overcard + flush draw. not to mention the times he calls with a better hand. he will rarely call with a worse hand. pc.

mythrilfox 12-16-2005 09:08 AM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
why in god's name did you raise to 25 preflop. this hand is so much easier to play if you exercise preflop/flop pot control.

RikaKazak 12-18-2005 07:18 AM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
shut up

seriously man, if people will call 25 to 30 pfr why not make it that much? the hand plays the same if I make it 20 as if I make it 25, shut up idiot

Gregg777 12-18-2005 02:53 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Villian is a 25/9 with AF of 3 after 49 hands. I'm playing semi tight, probably a 24/12, I c-bet heads up 99% of the time heads up, and 3 way about 60% of the time. The villian and I have yet to be in a hand together.

[/ QUOTE ]

Nice info...

I would call. Villain has to act first and seems fairly solid. You c-bet a lot, but calling his raise should give some indication of a hand.

If he leads out strong on the turn I am letting it go.

snowbank 12-18-2005 02:57 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
call

What do you plan on doing on the turn and river?? I'm folding this one every time. Am I wrong here?

Gregg777 12-18-2005 03:04 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
What do you plan on doing on the turn and river?? I'm folding this one every time. Am I wrong here?

[/ QUOTE ]

If you are folding TT with position on this board to an aggressive villain, then you would be wrong to raise it preflop.

snowbank 12-18-2005 04:17 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
If you are folding TT with position on this board to an aggressive villain, then you would be wrong to raise it preflop.

The check-raise is what would worry me? You only beat a bluff, A8, and 99. What are you doing on the turn and river?

RikaKazak 12-18-2005 04:56 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
After talking to some poker buddies, I think I call this ck raise, when I do that it does clarify, HEY, I have a hand. If he leads turn big I'm going to give it up and make a note to watch his play in the future.

I think he has a set, flush draw, or small pp. I think he'll slow down on turn with small pp and may or may not slow down with flush draw. I think I should call the $50 because the pot is big enough. And then play poker on turn.

gunslingner 12-18-2005 05:03 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
3-bet?

emil3000 12-18-2005 05:07 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
3-bet?

[/ QUOTE ]
Sucks.

FreakDaddy 12-18-2005 05:09 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
With position I call and watch the turn. Considering your image I think there's a fair amount of time villian is making a move here/thinks you missed.

Gregg777 12-18-2005 05:17 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
The check-raise is what would worry me? You only beat a bluff, A8, and 99.

[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed, I am not saying call every time against every opponent. But an aggressive player with a lot of holdings (over cards, flush draw, an 8, or 99), who knows I continuation bet 99%, will check raise in this spot.

Also, I am not calling just for this hand, if I am folding an overpair to a check raise after a continuation bet, then I am folding just about anything in that situation, which is going to open me up to a lot of steals in the future.

[ QUOTE ]
What are you doing on the turn and river?

[/ QUOTE ]

If he leads out strong on the turn I am letting it go.

Hattifnatt 12-18-2005 05:30 PM

Re: How far do you go with weak overpair?
 
I would make it 20 preflop. On the flop I fold or call and reevaluate (and trying very hard to spike a ten) on the turn, but i leaning towards folding.


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