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-   -   TPTK and Gettin Donk bet (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=303937)

Fo10 07-30-2005 12:56 PM

TPTK and Gettin Donk bet
 
Donk is 63/1/.74 over 109 hands

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 calls.

Flop: (7.40 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Button folds, MP2 calls.

Turn: (4.70 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets</font>, Hero...?

DrewOnTilt 07-30-2005 01:02 PM

Re: TPTK and Gettin Donk bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
Donk is 63/1/.74 over 109 hands

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 calls.

Flop: (7.40 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Button folds, MP2 calls.

Turn: (4.70 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets</font>, Hero...?

[/ QUOTE ]

Hero Folds. Even though this guy is a donk, his AF of 0.74 indicates that he does not bet with nothing. This pot is small. Consider that you will likely have to call a river bet as well; effectively, you are getting only 3:1 pot odds.

A larger pot might swing this decision to a call, but unless you have a specific read that this guy is a habitual bluffer, then this is an easy fold.

Bodhi 07-30-2005 01:03 PM

Re: TPTK and Gettin Donk bet
 
I almost want to fold with that kind of read, but sometimes the villain will only have a weak Ace or some strange holding. For that reason you should still raise to protect your hand and gain value for the % of times you are still ahead. Depending on the river I may bet again.

Bodhi 07-30-2005 01:04 PM

Re: TPTK and Gettin Donk bet
 
Do we want to be seen folding here to an out of place donk-bet?

mr pink 07-30-2005 01:10 PM

Re: TPTK and Gettin Donk bet
 
let's see, if he's bluffing the flush/straight he's probably not going to call a raise.

if he does have the flush/straight, he's probably going to 3-bet.

if he's bluffing, he'll probably continue the bluff on the river if you just call the turn, netting you 2 bbs.

if he's got the goods, you'll have to fold to the 3-bet which might be a bluff so you'll occassionally be folding the best hand, netting a loss of 2 bbs or 4 bbs if you decided to call down the 3-bet and river bet.

of course, there is the weak ace that is planning on calling down a raise and is just using the scary board to maybe get you to fold a better hand, so you lose a bet when you don't raise theses guys but i think these are rarer than the times you are staring at either a bluff or a made hand.

all in all, i don't see much value in raising these spots. just calling down is fine.

27offsooot 07-30-2005 01:12 PM

Re: TPTK and Gettin Donk bet
 
[ QUOTE ]

Hero Folds.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think folding here is pretty bad. .74 AF is not that low with that VPIP, Donks love to bluff scare cards by leading, whereas they usually c/r if they've made there hand. I would raise the turn w/o a heart here (and call with one), fold to a three bet and bet the river if he just calls.

mr pink 07-30-2005 01:15 PM

Re: TPTK and Gettin Donk bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
I would raise the turn w/o a heart here (and call with one), fold to a three bet and bet the river if he just calls.

[/ QUOTE ] ]

i feel like folding tptk sucks when you can get to sd for the same price on the off chance he's gaybetting with a weaker ace.

27offsooot 07-30-2005 01:15 PM

Re: TPTK and Gettin Donk bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
let's see, if he's bluffing the flush/straight he's probably not going to call a raise.

if he does have the flush/straight, he's probably going to 3-bet.

if he's bluffing, he'll probably continue the bluff on the river if you just call the turn, netting you 2 bbs.

if he's got the goods, you'll have to fold to the 3-bet which might be a bluff so you'll occassionally be folding the best hand, netting a loss of 2 bbs or 4 bbs if you decided to call down the 3-bet and river bet.

of course, there is the weak ace that is planning on calling down a raise and is just using the scary board to maybe get you to fold a better hand, so you lose a bet when you don't raise theses guys but i think these are rarer than the times you are staring at either a bluff or a made hand.

all in all, i don't see much value in raising these spots. just calling down is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

Good post. The only point i disagree on is that u will only very, very rarely be bluff three bet so i think that u can safely fold. Also, I like raising b/c if he does have some retarded heart hand with no pair, he will call a raise, but may c/f the river. If he has an ace, he will be calling the whole way, so u net an extra bb with a raise.

DrewOnTilt 07-30-2005 01:16 PM

pot size??
 
[ QUOTE ]
Do we want to be seen folding here to an out of place donk-bet?


[/ QUOTE ]

No, I hate folding to donkbets, but am I the only one here who thinks that this pot is just too small? If so, maybe this is a leak in my own damn game.

mr pink 07-30-2005 01:17 PM

Re: TPTK and Gettin Donk bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
if he does have some retarded heart hand with no pair, he will call a raise, but may c/f the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

he'll probably bluff at the river with it too if you just call the turn.


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