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-   -   different bet size practice > misread > beat (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=320311)

MarkGrandy 08-22-2005 12:00 PM

different bet size practice > misread > beat
 
I have crashed many times because my bet size gives misread to my opponent.
Lets say I have AK, he has KQ. Flop comes 6 8 K.
(I didnt make as big preflop raise as he would make with AK,
so he cant imagine I could have AK.)
He bets 1/3 of his stack, I wonder if he flopped 6 or 8 trips, but think he would rather go all in with trips and I call. Turn is Q, he go all in, I cant imagine how Q could improve his hand, I call and lose.
My point:
" Sometimes it would be Your advantage if Your opponent could see Your cards "
comments please !?

-Oz- 08-22-2005 12:12 PM

Re: different bet size practice > misread > beat
 
I guess I really don't understand your thinking in this example. You raise preflop and get called by a hand you dominate. You get a good flop and only call his small bet. Why? He then sucks out to a 3 outer and you get committed to the hand anyway? If you feared a set on the flop, why don't you fear it when he commits to the hand on the turn?

Bottom line: you didn't punish your opponent when you were ahead and got your chips in the middle when you were behind. This is exactly the opposite of what you should be trying to do as a skilled player.

-Oz-

mts 08-22-2005 12:13 PM

Re: different bet size practice > misread > beat
 
sorry but this is a stupid post

MarkGrandy 08-22-2005 12:21 PM

Re: different bet size practice > misread > beat
 
if I'd have raised his 1/3 stack bet, he would have called,
of course I would had +EV, but still get beaten !

I think my worst mistake was because I didnt make big enough
pre-flop raise(to convince him that I have AK)

yvesaint 08-22-2005 12:24 PM

Re: different bet size practice > misread > beat
 
[ QUOTE ]
if I'd have raised his 1/3 stack bet, he would have called,
of course I would had +EV, but still get beaten !

I think my worst mistake was because I didnt make big enough
pre-flop raise(to convince him that I have AK)

[/ QUOTE ]

This is stupid, he called you with a hand you crush, you get the perfect flop v. that, and you say you don't want to raise because you 'still would've been beaten'?? Talk about results-oriented!!

-Oz- 08-22-2005 12:34 PM

Re: different bet size practice > misread > beat
 
[ QUOTE ]
if I'd have raised his 1/3 stack bet, he would have called,
of course I would had +EV, but still get beaten !

I think my worst mistake was because I didnt make big enough
pre-flop raise(to convince him that I have AK)

[/ QUOTE ]

Perhaps. Why don't you give us some numbers (blinds, stack sizes, bet sizes, etc) and let us do a real analysis? Then we can whack you with the Club of Results Oriented Thinking. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

-Oz-

08-22-2005 12:36 PM

Re: different bet size practice > misread > beat
 
Does convincing him you have AK make a difference here? Once the flop hit, you should have pushed more. With the superior hand, don't you want him to call? In the long run, I will take my chances with AK here and hope that my opponent doesn't catch one of his 3 outs. If he was convinced you had AK, wouldn't he fold, and you would only make a marginal gain on this hand? Trust me, I am one of the unluckiest people with having other people's miracle cards spring up on the turn and river, but you still have to raise it after the flop.

08-22-2005 12:37 PM

Re: different bet size practice > misread > beat
 
[ QUOTE ]
Then we can whack you with the Club of Results Oriented Thinking. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

-Oz-

[/ QUOTE ]

Nicely put!

DVC Calif 08-22-2005 01:08 PM

Re: different bet size practice > misread > beat
 
[ QUOTE ]
...I wonder if he flopped 6 or 8 trips, but think he would rather go all in with trips...

[/ QUOTE ]

and

[ QUOTE ]
...My point:
" Sometimes it would be Your advantage if Your opponent could see Your cards "
...

[/ QUOTE ]

Funniest thing I've read all day (and that includes OOT hiliarity).

1) Why would anyone push a set OOP on a harmless board?

2) You can demonstrate a strong hand by letting your chips speak. You lost because you allowed Villain to take control of the pot.

fnurt 08-22-2005 01:20 PM

Re: different bet size practice > misread > beat
 
He lost because a queen came out, not because he let the guy take control of the pot!!! Oy this thread makes my head hurt.

If you could see your opponents cards and know he had KQ, is anybody here pushing on the flop? I should hope no one feels compelled to pick up a small pot for fear of a 3-outer. The only reason to push the flop is for fear of a big draw, and on a board like this, I will call the flop and hope he bets off the rest of his chips on the turn.

Consider the far more likely scenario where a queen doesn't fall on the turn, and you end up winning all his chips. You'd feel a little better about inducing him to misread your hand, right? Just because you take a bad beat, you can't lapse into thinking "I need to show him my cards so I can win a teeny tiny pot."

You can't control what cards come out. All you can do to play winning poker is to make correct decisions, and induce your opponent to make incorrect decisions. Now, sometimes when he makes an incorrect decision he will get lucky and win anyway, but that's just poker. If your opponents are constantly drawing to 2 and 3 outs, you're going to make a lot of money in the long term.


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