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Sample size and reliability of flops seen percentage?

How big a sample is needed to draw any conclusions about [flops seen %]?

If I have PokerTracker data that says a player is seeing 30% of the flops, how reliable is this number given a sample size of 10/20/30/40/50/100/etc hands? Anyone know of a formula to calculate this?

 bigpooch 12-08-2003 07:31 PM

Re: Sample size and reliability of flops seen percentage?

Don't put too much reliability on that statistic! It is
much more important to make what you believe (and better
if it is in reality!) are decisions with the largest +EV.
Flop% doesn't take into account that you are in the blinds,
whether the game is now 9-handed or 8-handed or game
conditions have changed so you can see more flops (maybe the
game has become very loose passive) assuming you are playing
at a ring game. There are so many factors that are much
more important than this number.

Re: Sample size and reliability of flops seen percentage?