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-   -   I don't know how to play this. AQs 3-bet from MP. (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=398591)

brick 12-14-2005 09:25 PM

I don\'t know how to play this. AQs 3-bet from MP.
 
EP raises and I assign him a wide range of big suited cards and pairs. 99+ KT+

I 3-bet AdQd.

SB is kinda crazy. He caps. He would probably cap a pair bigger than 44.
I'm not sure if he would cap with a random hand. Maybe 10% of the time he would cap with a random hand.

Flop: 8s 6s 3c

SB bets, EP calls.

My action? (if I call SB will bet again. Not sure what EP would do with a hand like KJ. I think he will call with an A.)

What do you guys think about cold calling pre-flop?

toss 12-14-2005 09:41 PM

Re: I don\'t know how to play this. AQs 3-bet from MP.
 
3-betting is superior to coldcalling preflop. Isolate with better hand, get it HU, take the lead.

SB sounds like a LAG or maniac. Doesn't seem like the type to give you a free card should you raise the flop. I'd just peel and see what the turn brings. I also don't think raising to get EP to fold will work.

brick 12-14-2005 10:24 PM

Re: I don\'t know how to play this. AQs 3-bet from MP.
 
I see that I have equity two ways:
1) SB bets a worse hand and EP folds, I call and SB doesn't improve.
2) I spike an A or Q and no one has AK+

If situation #1 happens 10% of the time.
and I have an adjusted ~4 outs that 4/47 = 8.5% so a little less than ~18% equity because both events might happen at the same time.
I'm calling 1 bet to win 14. So I should call.

But SB will fold a complete bluff where as I will call down with A high so I have worse implied odds than the pots odds show.

any thoughts on how to cacluate this more accuratly?

12-15-2005 04:07 PM

Re: I don\'t know how to play this. AQs 3-bet from MP.
 
peel one off and fold the turn unimproved. board likely helped no one so your 6 outs are probably live.


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