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-   -   The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s) (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=404259)

johnnybeef 12-23-2005 07:36 PM

The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
Ok, so in the last two weeks I have played more 22s and 33s then perhaps anyone on the planet. This has been by far my longest stint at the 33s as I previously moved from the 22s to the 55s before I spent all of my bankroll on naughty things.

Essentially the 22s are a cinch to double up early. In a typical 22 I will double up with a big pair early, wait for people to bust out and usually be at average on the bubble. Once at the bubble, I will usually have about 10ish bb since the 22 bubbles usually start at around level 5 or 6. As such, I am usually not as agressive. I tend to make raises of 2.5 bb instead of pushes as I hate shoving 10 bb into a pot when there are so many monkeys that will bust out with terrible holdings. Once I am hu at the 22s, it is common for both opponents to be above 10 bb. As such, I usually like to limp a few hands, to see how my opponent will react to that.

At the 33s, the players are generally tighter as there are a few more pros (ok lets face it, Ilya and I may have been the only pros at the 22s this month.) That said there are definately donks there (as there are everywhere, but everything is relative.) 33s donks are slightly better than 22s donks. By this, I mean that they are usually more difficult to stack early. They still make horri-awful calls late, but generally, I find that they hold on to chips a little bit better. The key difference between the 22s and 33s lies in the fact that the 33s usually last longer. You need to pick up a few pots here and there in the mid game to get above t1000 or so until the average stack is less than 10 bb (the ability to recognize who is on a steal is perhaps the most valuable skill for a blossoming 33er.) 33s bubbles usually start at about level 7 which means that the average stack is about 6-7 bb. As such, proper pushbot strategy is necesarry in order to beat the 33s for a decent earn. One of the biggest leaks of good players on the bubble at the 33s imo is impatience. I see far too many good players pushing junk utg when they are short. For example, at t1100 with the blinds at 150/300 utg, I will frequently see players shove any two. This is a huge mistake as you will have 650 left after you clear the blinds (if you don't pick up anything playable in the blinds.) For those of you who think that 650 isnt much, double it and add 450. This will give you a stack of 1750 which is slightly below average (and if you can win a 3 way pot, even better.) ITM and HU at the 33s are pretty much straight forward pushbotting.

I really have only played 30 or so 55s this month (I played 2500 or so this summer), so I won't go into too much detail about them, but the competition is similar to the 33s. The obvious difference though is the extra t200 that everyone starts out with. This is a huge advantage for a good player as it enables you to out maneuver bad players postflop early, and it enables you to be slightly more patient. Also, since the stacks are deeper, the bubbles at the 55s usually play similar to the 22s as the blinds usually don't get huge in comparison to the stack sizes (at least not as often as it would at the 33s.)

I hope this post will clear up some of the how are the 22s/33s/55s different type posts. I would have addressed the 11s except I haven't played any in almost 8 months.

fluorescenthippo 12-23-2005 07:40 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
33s donks are slightly better than 22s donks.

[/ QUOTE ]

this made me laugh

johnnybeef 12-23-2005 07:47 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
33s donks are slightly better than 22s donks.

[/ QUOTE ]

this made me laugh

[/ QUOTE ]

perhaps I should have said that there are less of them

splashpot 12-23-2005 07:47 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
I see far too many good players pushing junk utg when they are short. For example, at t1100 with the blinds at 150/300 utg, I will frequently see players shove any two. This is a huge mistake

[/ QUOTE ]
I agree. I see that a lot on this forum too. Otherwise great players would rather push junk UTG than let the blinds go through them. fwiw, I HATE pushing junk UTG.

Snarf 12-23-2005 07:54 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I see far too many good players pushing junk utg when they are short. For example, at t1100 with the blinds at 150/300 utg, I will frequently see players shove any two. This is a huge mistake

[/ QUOTE ]
I agree. I see that a lot on this forum too. Otherwise great players would rather push junk UTG than let the blinds go through them. fwiw, I HATE pushing junk UTG.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is probably one of the biggest adjustments I've made since coming to 2+2. I realized letting the blinds hit you ISNT the end of the world.

The Yugoslavian 12-23-2005 07:58 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
beefy,

I must have missed the 'what comprises a definitive post' memo....b/c while this may be helpful and I like seeing you put your thoughts down....it's far from definitive. Plus, it's mainly regurgitation from what Irieguy has thought about in the past (many months ago) and doesn't even include what IMO are the biggest insights/differences.

Yugoslav

Bill Poker 12-23-2005 08:01 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
mind posting the link?

johnnybeef 12-23-2005 08:05 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
beefy,

I must have missed the 'what comprises a definitive post' memo....b/c while this may be helpful and I like seeing you put your thoughts down....it's far from definitive. Plus, it's mainly regurgitation from what Irieguy has thought about in the past (many months ago) and doesn't even include what IMO are the biggest insights/differences.

Yugoslav

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, its definitive because I am an ego maniac. Also, Irie didn't hint upon the differences in play. Rather, he talks about win rates etc.

edit: This isn't regurgitation at all, these are my own thoughts. If they coincide with Irie's post, then I guess I am finally doing something right.

curtains 12-23-2005 08:06 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
A cinch to double up early? Lol, thats funny...its not that easy to get big pairs early. To say that in a typical 22 that you will double up early is just BS. I played enough to know that most of the time you WON'T double up early.

ilya 12-23-2005 08:06 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
For example, at t1100 with the blinds at 150/300 utg, I will frequently see players shove any two. This is a huge mistake as you will have 650 left after you clear the blinds (if you don't pick up anything playable in the blinds.)

[/ QUOTE ]

if you're talking about 4-6 handed sorts of situations, I really disagree with you. I guess 7+ handed I can see folding trash.

ZeroPointMachine 12-23-2005 08:11 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
I don't think I can beat the 30s for a high enough ROI to justify not playing 50s or 20s. All the negatives of 800 chip starting stacks seem to pile up at the 30s. Hourly rate for me 55s>>22s>>>33s. I tried to play the damned things and learn what I could at that level. I learned that the 33s suck.

johnnybeef 12-23-2005 08:12 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
its not that easy to get big pairs early.

[/ QUOTE ]


While true, it is definately easy to stack someone with a good made hand such as a set, two pair, or a big pair.

johnnybeef 12-23-2005 08:13 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
if you're talking about 4-6 handed sorts of situations, I really disagree with you. I guess 7+ handed I can see folding trash.

[/ QUOTE ]

Care to expand? I proved my theory.

skipperbob 12-23-2005 08:14 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
beefy,

I must have missed the 'what comprises a definitive post' memo....b/c while this may be helpful and I like seeing you put your thoughts down....it's far from definitive. Plus, it's mainly regurgitation from what Irieguy has thought about in the past (many months ago) and doesn't even include what IMO are the biggest insights/differences.

Yugoslav

[/ QUOTE ]

Don't get your panties in a bunch [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img] We all cut Beef some slack....He's mentally-ill, You know [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

fluorescenthippo 12-23-2005 08:21 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I see far too many good players pushing junk utg when they are short. For example, at t1100 with the blinds at 150/300 utg, I will frequently see players shove any two. This is a huge mistake

[/ QUOTE ]
I agree. I see that a lot on this forum too. Otherwise great players would rather push junk UTG than let the blinds go through them. fwiw, I HATE pushing junk UTG.

[/ QUOTE ]


yea i gotta work on this too. i think this was a big problem for me when i jumped to the 55s because they arent as tight on the bubble. at the 22s i would always push crap utg in the right situation because they never call enough.

curtains 12-23-2005 08:23 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
its not that easy to get big pairs early.

[/ QUOTE ]


While true, it is definately easy to stack someone with a good made hand such as a set, two pair, or a big pair.

[/ QUOTE ]

Its not easy to get one of these in the first 20-30 hands of a sit and go either. And sometimes you lose when you do get them! I go entire days without flopping a set sometimes, and entire sets without getting AA-QQ in the first 30 hands.

Hendricks433 12-23-2005 08:30 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
I think its very easy to stack them if you get the hands. But I/everyone doesnt get the hands enough. But I see what Johnybeef is saying.

ilya 12-23-2005 09:13 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
if you're talking about 4-6 handed sorts of situations, I really disagree with you. I guess 7+ handed I can see folding trash.

[/ QUOTE ]

Care to expand? I proved my theory.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, it's true that you will still have 650 left after going through the blinds in the example you give. However, that 650 amounts to just a tiny bit over 2xbb, leaving you with no FE whatsoever. Not only will the pot often be raised in front of you, but even if it's not, you'll often still have to win a showdown just to survive. It's true that you may pick up a better hand in the next orbit, but even if you push & win, you'll still have only slightly more than you did when you folded. There's also an opportunity cost to folding...if you get called & win, you will have a pretty big stack & the greater number of profitable opportunities that come with it. If everyone folds, you will have FE even after paying the blinds, and stand to win a lot more if you pick up a good hand & get called.

Since so much of it comes down to FE, I like folding much more if you're almost sure you'll get called anyway.

johnnybeef 12-23-2005 09:13 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]

Its not easy to get one of these in the first 20-30 hands of a sit and go either. And sometimes you lose when you do get them! I go entire days without flopping a set sometimes, and entire sets without getting AA-QQ in the first 30 hands.


[/ QUOTE ]


Alright, I'll bight. We'll say that you get two pair, AA, KK, QQ, AK to hit, or a set about once every 60 hands. In levels 1-3 there are 30 hands. There for you can expect to one of these hands one out of every two sngs in level 1-3. Since you get these 4 out of every 8 sngs. I woiuld estimate that you will lose about 1/4 of these, and not get paid about 1/4. That leaves about 2 out of 8 sngs that you double up early. 1 out of 4 is a bit much imo, I would say it is closer to one out of every 5. The point is, it is easier to get your big hands paid at the 22s then it is at the 33s.

ilya 12-23-2005 09:17 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
its not that easy to get big pairs early.

[/ QUOTE ]


While true, it is definately easy to stack someone with a good made hand such as a set, two pair, or a big pair.

[/ QUOTE ]

Its not easy to get one of these in the first 20-30 hands of a sit and go either. And sometimes you lose when you do get them! I go entire days without flopping a set sometimes, and entire sets without getting AA-QQ in the first 30 hands.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is all true, but I think what beef is getting at is that when you *do* get those hands, they tend to be markedly more profitable in the $20s than in $30s. Which I think is true.

12-23-2005 09:36 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
I don't think I can beat the 30s for a high enough ROI to justify not playing 50s or 20s. All the negatives of 800 chip starting stacks seem to pile up at the 30s. Hourly rate for me 55s>>22s>>>33s. I tried to play the damned things and learn what I could at that level. I learned that the 33s suck.

[/ QUOTE ]

God created the $33s to test the faithful.

Degen 12-23-2005 09:48 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
care to make a guess at attainable 4-tabling in sets ROI possibilities these days for each of them?

*lets assume a better than above average 2p2er but not an uber pokergod etc.

6 months ago i'd peg these at 20%+ and 15%+ respectively

johnnybeef 12-23-2005 09:55 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
care to make a guess at attainable 4-tabling in sets ROI possibilities these days for each of them?

*lets assume a better than above average 2p2er but not an uber pokergod etc.

6 months ago i'd peg these at 20%+ and 15%+ respectively

[/ QUOTE ]

Tough to determine. Irieguy had the advantage of coaching a ton of players, I have only coached about 6 or 7, and most have been at or below the 22s. Furthermore, I don't know much about their stats.

johnnybeef 12-23-2005 09:56 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
I don't think I can beat the 30s for a high enough ROI to justify not playing 50s or 20s. All the negatives of 800 chip starting stacks seem to pile up at the 30s. Hourly rate for me 55s>>22s>>>33s. I tried to play the damned things and learn what I could at that level. I learned that the 33s suck.

[/ QUOTE ]

If it weren't for rakeback, I would probably agree with your statement. Although, there are a different set of skills that are necessarry to beat the 33s optimally. The most significant of which is proper stealing and restealing strategy in the middle game.

ilya 12-23-2005 11:07 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
if you're talking about 4-6 handed sorts of situations, I really disagree with you. I guess 7+ handed I can see folding trash.

[/ QUOTE ]

Care to expand? I proved my theory.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, it's true that you will still have 650 left after going through the blinds in the example you give. However, that 650 amounts to just a tiny bit over 2xbb, leaving you with no FE whatsoever. Not only will the pot often be raised in front of you, but even if it's not, you'll often still have to win a showdown just to survive. It's true that you may pick up a better hand in the next orbit, but even if you push & win, you'll still have only slightly more than you did when you folded. There's also an opportunity cost to folding...if you get called & win, you will have a pretty big stack & the greater number of profitable opportunities that come with it. If everyone folds, you will have FE even after paying the blinds, and stand to win a lot more if you pick up a good hand & get called.

Since so much of it comes down to FE, I like folding much more if you're almost sure you'll get called anyway.

[/ QUOTE ]

i would like to hear your thoughts on why you disagree.

johnnybeef 12-23-2005 11:42 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
[ QUOTE ]

i would like to hear your thoughts on why you disagree.

[/ QUOTE ]

I have 3 reasons.

1. Results. I played about 7-8k sngs in which I open shoved any time I had 3-5 bb. I have played about 2k sngs in which I play patiently through the blinds (provided that they are big.) My results playing the latter have been much better.

2. It is relatively easy to pick off. If I notice that a solid player who is short shoves utg, I will call with a very liberal range. I can say that 7/10 times, they are not holding what they are supposed to.

3. Just because you dont have 3 bb doesn't mean that you don't have FE. We have all been in situations in which we have 2 bb, but the bb has 3 bb. He isn't going to be calling with a wide range here all too often.

For the most part, I used to play like you, but Rojosox and I had a conversation over AIM, and it has served me well. Another thing to consider is that many fishies have something that I like to call bassakwardseliminitus. In other words, instead of properly working on stealing from the mid stacks, they bully the short stacks with nothing because they think that the goal is eliminating opponents. Essentially, getting 2:1 with T3 against 78 is a beautiful situation.

yvesaint 12-23-2005 11:55 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
ive been 4-tabling the 55s for 15 roi the past 2 weeks. only 20 or so a day so really no sample size to speak of

but im not looking to "double up" early. im looking to play solid hands early on, and use early reads to see who the loose donks are at the table, and hopefully get in with a good hand v. them. by the 50/100 level, im glad to have a stack around 1500. sometimes ill capitalize on a donk and double up through him, but a lot of the chips i get during the first three levels are through solid value betting

after that its a lot of blind stealing, followed by bubble play. blinds are so high by this point if im not a big stack, im doing the push/fold thing a lot.

90% of the players i face at the 55s, including multi-tabling "regulars" (McShove comes into mind) dont seem to play well post-flop in the first three levels. i find my NL cash game background helps a lot here - i tend to see way too many people overvaluing hands when they still have 30+BBs in their stacks.

ilya 12-23-2005 11:56 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
Thanks for the detailed answer. I will try to give a coherent rebuttal when I have a bit of time.

yvesaint 12-23-2005 11:57 PM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
also i cannot comment on 22s 33s or lower because i started with the 55s. i can only assume the post-flop play there is exponentially worse than what i am seeing here.

johnnybeef 12-24-2005 12:06 AM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
A few points....first off, the 55s are a different animal than what I have been playing the last month and a half.

[ QUOTE ]
but im not looking to "double up" early

[/ QUOTE ]

I think that perhaps the most interesting thing about the party sng is that it is highly possible to fold your way into the money. As such, I agree. But, lets face it doubling up early definately helps your chances of cashing.

[ QUOTE ]
by the 50/100 level, im glad to have a stack around 1500.

[/ QUOTE ]

Oh absolutely. I usually am happy with t1100 at level 4.

[ QUOTE ]
after that its a lot of blind stealing, followed by bubble play. blinds are so high by this point if im not a big stack, im doing the push/fold thing a lot.

[/ QUOTE ]

SHHHHHHHH!!!! The thing about the 55s is that you usually don't have to play pushbot poker too often as the blinds dont get too too big until level 8.


[ QUOTE ]
i find my NL cash game background helps a lot here - i tend to see way too many people overvaluing hands when they still have 30+BBs in their stacks.

[/ QUOTE ]

Part of the reason that I am still at the lower levels is due to the fact that I played a ton of mtts in the last two months without any significant cashes. I can full well say that playing a 30 bb stack is the hardest part of mtts, so your statement hits spot on. Your nl cash experience is definately helpul.

yvesaint 12-24-2005 12:13 AM

Re: The definitive post on 22s v 33s (with some comments on 55s)
 
its even more important in 55s as i just realized lower buy-ins DONT have the 1000 starting chip stack (which is also why i think the 55s are pretty fishy to start with)

i find the blinds start to get high once they hit 150/300 but i often find myself getting very aggro by the time they hit 100/200, sometimes even 75/150

doubling up early definitely helps you cashing, of course, but from what ive seen, it doesnt help as much as you'd think - i find a lot of times how my early game goes in levels 1-3 does not affect the outcomes of my games as much as i thought it would. which is why there are some simple things i excersize early on:

- pot control with 1-pair hands (can be more important than 'protecting your hand' in many situations)
- playing in position
- much less completing/playing from the blinds

i just find that playing a nice, aggro game later on helps a lot more in terms of cashing/1sts. you steal blinds once at 75/150, thats 225 chips right there w/o a single showdown, while at levels 1-3 thats a good-size pot that you have to have the best hand to show down with


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