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-   -   [censored][censored] Blind Steal (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=407651)

12-30-2005 07:31 AM

[censored][censored] Blind Steal
 
I've only got a piddly amount of hands on both villians. Treat them as unknowns.

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">6 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB 3-bets</font>, BB calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (9 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, BB calls, Hero calls.

Turn: (6 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, BB calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB caps</font>, Hero folds,


Good, bad or just plain ugly??

12-30-2005 08:39 AM

Re: [censored][censored] Blind Steal
 
If I count right there are 16 BB in the pot when it gets back to you. I'd be tempted to call and see what the river is. If it doesn't complete a straight or the flush I'd be real tempted to call this down. It would suck if SB had KJ and BB had 88 but that is the risk of stealing blinds, sometimes they have hands...

DavidC 12-30-2005 09:05 AM

Re: [censored][censored] Blind Steal
 
OOC, why did you call the flop?

Also, I think your turn fold was okay, but I've been giving weak-tight advice lately.

12-30-2005 09:18 AM

Re: [censored][censored] Blind Steal
 
why no flop raise? turn looks good, either a slowplayed set or straight. a call/cap is always a good hint to muck unless you got the goods/odds.

12-30-2005 11:56 AM

Re: [censored][censored] Blind Steal
 
I like the fold. Not too sure what SB is playing with, AK?, but it def. looks like BB slowplayed a set. Either way I doubt 2 pair would hold up. I'd give BB more credit for KK than 88 b/c he called 2 SB preflop (unless of course he is looser in the BB).

car ramrod 12-30-2005 12:15 PM

Re: [censored][censored] Blind Steal
 
turn is a good fold

12-30-2005 12:20 PM

Re: [censored][censored] Blind Steal
 
grunch

i'm not folding two pair here for one bet.

at least see the river.

12-30-2005 12:23 PM

Re: [censored][censored] Blind Steal
 
hmm, two bets even, my mistake.

I don't want to fold here, maybe i'm a fish [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

bozlax 12-30-2005 12:36 PM

Re: [censored][censored] Blind Steal
 
Why no flop raise, Kwaz? TP, position, short handed? That might let you out cheaper on the turn, but I think you have to give it up when it's two back to you on the turn.

Pedigree 12-30-2005 12:41 PM

Re: [censored][censored] Blind Steal
 
I think I'd have raised the flop.

As for the turn, you've got 8 to 1 odds. You only need 10.5 to 1 to draw to a full house. Anybody think that his 7 outs are good and he can make up the 2.5 bets on the river if he fills up? Probably not...


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