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-   -   is this standard? do you like this flop push? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=396305)

Maulik 12-11-2005 06:28 PM

is this standard? do you like this flop push?
 
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Hero (t640)
UTG (t1320)
MP (t2355)
CO (t2520)
Button (t635)
SB (t530)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls t50, CO calls t50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, Hero checks.

Flop: (t200) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, HERO ???

12-11-2005 06:33 PM

Re: is this standard? do you like this flop push?
 
over 30% chance of hitting + fold equity + shorter stack - some chance of higher flush (especially if two clubs fall) = o.k. to push your stack

i don't have this much courage. i think i hate to be eliminated but i think it's a smart play (probably really depends on the chance of everyone folding).

curtains 12-11-2005 06:43 PM

Re: is this standard? do you like this flop push?
 

I would probably move allin, yes. You cant be too picky when you are shortstacked, and the prospect of picking up 200 chips uncontested is extremely tempting.

curtains 12-11-2005 06:45 PM

Re: is this standard? do you like this flop push?
 
btw another important note....the 30% number is a bit whack. If you are up against something like A9 or an overpair, you will win the hand when all is said and done, about 40% of the time. If someone calls you with middle pair like 66, then ylou will win about 46% of the time. In all I thnik its a relatively simple push. The biggest nightmare is a higher flush draw, in which case you are winning only about 20% of the time.


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