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-   -   ($6) absolute-QQ on the button (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=398668)

LALDAAS 12-14-2005 11:48 PM

($6) absolute-QQ on the button
 
Earily rounds no real read on villian


Stage #266863541 Tourney ID 53325 Holdem Single Tournament No Limit $15 - 2005-12-14 22:27:48 (ET)
Table: 4680406 (Real Money) Seat #9 is the dealer
Seat 1 - SMILEY101 ($1380 in chips)
Seat 2 - DSUNDAY ($1500 in chips)
Seat 4 - MACSG32 ($2745 in chips)
Seat 5 - _SHOWME_ ($1740 in chips)
Seat 6 - MIGHTYMIKE26 ($1890 in chips)
Seat 7 - CAM1RST ($1440 in chips)
Seat 8 - LINUS0421 ($1380 in chips)
Seat 9 - LALDAAS ($1425 in chips)
SMILEY101 - Posts small blind $15
DSUNDAY - Posts big blind $30
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to LALDAAS [Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]]
MACSG32 - Calls $30
_SHOWME_ - Folds
MIGHTYMIKE26 - Calls $30
CAM1RST - Calls $30
LINUS0421 - Folds
LALDAAS - Raises $120
SMILEY101 - Calls $105
DSUNDAY - Folds
MACSG32 - Folds
MIGHTYMIKE26 - Folds
CAM1RST - Folds
*** FLOP *** [4 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 10 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]]
SMILEY101 - Checks
LALDAAS - Bets $360
SMILEY101 - Raises $720 to $720
LALDAAS - Folds

Pokey 12-15-2005 12:31 AM

Re: ($6) absolute-QQ on the button
 
I think your flop bet was too big. I'd say that about 50%-75% of the pot would be fine; you don't want him to draw to a club that will beat you, but you also don't want him to come over the top with a reraise you can't call.

What would you have bet if you had HIT the flush? Certainly less than t360, so your bet is suspicious. While a bluff reraise is always risky, this could be a perfect time for one.

Here are the possibilities:

1. He's got no clubs. In that case, it won't take much to chase him out, and you'd love for him to stick around to feed you money.
2. He's got two clubs. Here, he's going to crucify you, and you'd really rather not give him all your chips.
3. He's got one club. If it's a high club and he's a sucker, he's sticking around until the bitter end. If he's aware of the odds, a 50% bet will chase him out. If he's a chicken or it's a low club, he might even run with a smaller bet.

All told, I think I'd be betting about t200 here. It looks less desperate so it causes fewer bluff reraises, it gets you in less trouble if he's got you beaten, and it still offers the drawing hands incorrect odds.


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