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-   -   Odds of this happening? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=388420)

11-30-2005 02:51 PM

Odds of this happening?
 
Last night I was playing some 5/10 live 9 handed..

Played a 6 hour session.. game was moving at an average pace..

AA,KK,QQ,JJ,TT,AK,AQ.... ONE TIME.. One premium hand in six hours seems like some pretty hard luck.. or maybe I'm just a dumb n00b.. but if anyone knows the odds of playing about 170 hands and only getting one of those hands once I'd like to see it.

Tom1975 11-30-2005 03:20 PM

Re: Odds of this happening?
 
It's (1-((4+4+4+4+32+32)/1326))^170=0.000652

Edit: Oops, this is the odds for getting it zero times.

LetYouDown 11-30-2005 03:57 PM

Re: Odds of this happening?
 
Exactly once:

=BINOMDIST(1,170,62/COMBIN(52,2),FALSE) or ~.243%

0 or 1 time:

=BINOMDIST(1,170,62/COMBIN(52,2),TRUE) or ~.272%

LetYouDown 11-30-2005 04:03 PM

Re: Odds of this happening?
 
[ QUOTE ]
4+4+4+4+32+32

[/ QUOTE ]
Where did you come up with these numbers? LOL, I'm curious after staring at them for a couple minutes.

11-30-2005 05:11 PM

Re: Odds of this happening?
 
Thanks.. Wow it must have really not been my night..


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