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-   -   3-bet this river? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=330963)

illegit 09-06-2005 04:38 PM

3-bet this river?
 
UTG is extremely loose passive post-flop. Recently called a river bet with Q-high against me, and overcalled a river bet with NINE high in a 3-way pot I wasn't in. Either drunk or retarded, but is usually calling all over the place, rarely betting. Can i 3-bet on the end? Also i should have lead on the flop but the river is my concern here.

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is BB with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, MP calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG caps</font>, MP calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (12.50 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, MP folds, Hero calls.

Turn: (7.25 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls.

River: (9.25 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, Hero calls

Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF">
Hero has Kd Ah (two pair, aces and kings).
UTG has 5c Ac (two pair, aces and fives).
Outcome: Hero wins 13.25 BB. </font>

kapw7 09-06-2005 04:47 PM

Re: 3-bet this river?
 
[ QUOTE ]
UTG is extremely loose passive post-flop...
... but is usually calling all over the place, rarely betting. Can i 3-bet on the end?

[/ QUOTE ]

That answers your question?

Going back to see the results now

car ramrod 09-06-2005 04:59 PM

Re: 3-bet this river?
 
what are his pf standads? Your read is he is very passive post flop, but he looks aggressive both pf and post based on this hand.

Not sure if I would 3 bet this river.

Disconnected 09-06-2005 05:10 PM

Re: 3-bet this river?
 
If you trust your reads, then I wouldn't 3-bet the river. You're behind most reasonable capping hands, and chopping with another AK. Plus, the flush draw just came in, and a loose passive player is raising the turn and river aggressor.

I don't mind the check on the flop against a pre-flop capper; if he bets and MP raises, I'd get out.

illegit 09-06-2005 05:19 PM

Re: 3-bet this river?
 
The fact that he's 'loose' is certain, the 'passive' part of the read comes from the fact that he's always calling with literally nothing. He'll sometimes bet when he has a piece of the board though, but his play is highly HIGHLY erratic. The fact that he's raising me only tells me he has SOMETHING but it could be an A-trash kicker given his erratic play, but it also could be JT or diamonds. Given the fact that the river completes 2 draws I don't hate just calling the raise.

J. Stew 09-06-2005 05:21 PM

Re: 3-bet this river?
 
Sure, three bet if he's calling down with nine high, he could have AQ or even AJ if he's as bad as you described. I think this is very read dependent because most people know if they raise on the end, like he did, they're gonna get called given the action up till then. He probably thinks his A10o is good here, I'd feel comfortable three-betting and think most of the time he just calls and you win. When he caps there's a possibility he has AQ or worse, so I'd call, but wouldn't like it nearly as much as when he just calls.

Edit: I missed the part that says he 'rarely raises though', that changes my answer to a call.

@bsolute_luck 09-06-2005 05:26 PM

Re: 3-bet this river?
 
i couldn't avoid looking at results, but i'll post my original thoughts before i read that: i'm more concerned with a slow played set than the flush as there are no reasonable PRF capping hand that would have the flush, so no, i'm not 3-betting that river for that fact.

illegit 09-06-2005 05:34 PM

Re: 3-bet this river?
 
Here's a couple hands I witnessed prior to this hand. Which lead me to believe he was most likely literally drunk and therefore putting him on a hand would most likely be a worthless exercise. Villain from 1st hand is BB here, and SB in the next one.

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls, MP calls, CO calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero completes, BB checks.

Flop: (5 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
Hero checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, MP calls, CO calls, Hero calls, BB calls.

Turn: (5 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets</font>, CO folds, Hero folds, BB calls, UTG calls.

River: (8 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, MP calls, BB calls.

Final Pot: 11 BB

BB has 3s Qd (high card, queen).
UTG has 7c 8c (straight, jack high).
MP has 3c 5c (one pair, fives).
Outcome: UTG wins 11 BB.

-----------------

Literally the next hand:

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls, CO calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (4 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets</font>, CO calls, SB calls, BB folds.

Turn: (3.50 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, MP checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, SB calls, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises</font>, CO calls, SB calls.

River: (9.50 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets</font>, CO calls, SB calls.

Final Pot: 12.50 BB

SB has 8h 4s (one pair, kings).
MP has Kh 7s (three of a kind, kings).
CO has 3c 9c (one pair, kings).
Outcome: MP wins 12.50 BB.

(CO must be his brother)

-------------------------------

Very next hand

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is CO with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB checks.

Flop: (3.50 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, Button checks.

Turn: (1.75 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, Button calls, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises</font>, UTG calls, Button calls.

River: (7.75 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, UTG folds, Button calls.

Final Pot: 9.75 BB

BB has Jd 9d (flush, queen high).
Button has Kc 6d (high card, king).
Outcome: BB wins 9.75 BB.

-------------------------

So against an opponent who's brain seems to be functioning on even a basic level i think just calling the raise on that river is a no-brainer. Against this opponent I wasn't sure though.

aces_dad 09-06-2005 06:01 PM

Re: 3-bet this river?
 
After seeing these two hands by villian, I would 3bet the river / call if capped. His play is just too crazy to put him on the rational range of hands which beat you here.

Also, it would be best not to list results, as it's just too tempting to look at them and then the replies will be biased.

09-06-2005 06:37 PM

Re: 3-bet this river?
 
I would 3-bet the river. You have a strong hand, and he could have a wide range of hands, including AQ, A5, A2, Ax, KQ, K5, K2, Kx, Q5, Q2, and Qx. It's true that he could also have a straight or a flush, but with his wild pattern you already observe, I wouldn't fear it.


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