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-   -   Flush Draw (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=374373)

11-08-2005 03:50 PM

Flush Draw
 
What are the odds of catching a flush when starting with any two-suited cards pre-flop? I wasn’t sure weather to post this in the probably forum or this one, since it is a hold-em question.

11-08-2005 04:07 PM

Re: Flush Draw
 
Since it is a 37.1% chance for a board to flush (3 cards of a suit) it is 37.1/4 less the 2 cards that you have giving you a 6.4% chance of making your flush given 2 suited cards.

The math can be seen here: http://www.math.sfu.ca/~alspach/comp4/

11-09-2005 06:42 PM

Re: Flush Draw
 
According to Phil Gorden it is less than 1% (1 out of 121 hands):

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/poker...amp;id=2217751

jackblack73 11-09-2005 07:38 PM

Re: Flush Draw
 
[ QUOTE ]
According to Phil Gorden it is less than 1% (1 out of 121 hands):

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/poker...amp;id=2217751

[/ QUOTE ]
It's less than 1% to flop a flush, but around 6% to make one by the river. Which is probably what Steve posted, though I didn't check out his link.

11-10-2005 06:52 PM

Re: Flush Draw
 
but that 6+% figure assumes you'll stay in the pot to catch
running cards of your suit if you flop a 3-flush. So most players will have flushes less than 6% of the time.


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