is this a bet/fold river situation?
 

Button is a tough player - 24/18. I've been watching him - no mistakes that I've seen and very straightforward. Given this read, how's my play (a) on the flop, and (b) on the river (can I bet/fold here?).

Thanks.

Party Poker 10/20 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button caps</font>, SB calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (17 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button 3-bets</font>, SB folds, UTG calls, Hero calls.

Turn: (13 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets</font>, UTG calls, Hero calls.

River: (16 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets</font>, UTG folds, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 18 BB

Re: is this a bet/fold river situation?
 

I certainly wouldn't laugh at you if you did.

Re: is this a bet/fold river situation?
 

Why would you bet/fold the river? I think the best you can hope for is a chop with AQ although there is a small chance he has AJ, either of which he'll bet anyway, and you don't want to risk folding the best hand to a raise.

Re: is this a bet/fold river situation?
 

I don't see what hands we would extract value from other than the 2 combos of AJs, which are probably betting the river anyway. Letting button bet will have a higher chance of UTG sticking around.

Re: is this a bet/fold river situation?
 

[ QUOTE ]
I certainly wouldn't laugh at you if you did.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would.

Re: is this a bet/fold river situation?
 

Thats a big pot to bet-fold in with a board like that and a hand like that

Re: is this a bet/fold river situation?
 

Folding here would be quite dumb. c/c and stop worrying about whether you might miss a bet on the river. if you want to donk the river that might be OK, just dont fold.

Re: is this a bet/fold river situation?
 

nah just checkcall imo.

Re: is this a bet/fold river situation?
 

So we're behing villans: AK/AT, Ahead of AJ, and split with AQ.

We're ahead of everything else(99/JJ-KK).

So its more way ahead than behind right? So why does no one cap the flop?

You want him to continue with PPs, keep UTG around and you dont want to bet/fold river due to pot size and potentially folding the best hand?

But doesn't the turn getting checked through suck? 18PFR is fairly high so i assume he 99 Upwards(and maybe some A9s? etc).

Thanks.