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-   -   Tourney hand odds (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=39604)

Jedi Poker 07-16-2003 01:42 AM

Tourney hand odds
 
Flop is K-Q-10 of different suits. I have AJ offsuit for the nut straight. Opponent has KJ offsuit. We both get all-in on the flop (no-limit).

Turn comes J. River comes K, giving my opponent a backdoor runner runner fullhouse. What were the odds against my opponent backing into the fullhouse? Thanks.

FastCards 07-16-2003 09:28 AM

Re: Tourney hand odds
 
With 2 cards to come, there are 990 possible outcomes.

837 times you win with the straight
129 times he hits a straight too for the split pot
23 times he hits a full house
1 time he hits quads

So, he has 23/990 = 2.32% of winning with the full house, 0.1% chance of hitting quads.

Overall you are 84.55% to win, he is 2.42%, split is 13.03%


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