99 checkup
 

I'm a little unsure about this one and want to see what others say...

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (10 handed)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG folds, <font color="CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, UTG+2 calls, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, Hero calls, Button folds, SB folds, BB calls.

Flop: (8.50 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(4 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, <font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 folds.

Turn: (5.75 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB folds, UTG+1 calls.

River: (7.75 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: 7.75 BB

thanks!

Re: 99 checkup
 

Another one of my favorite starting hands.

UTG+1 could easily be on unpaired overcards here. I think you have to bet this river.

Re: 99 checkup
 

Assuming you didn't have a read on UTG+1 as a rock and that you were fairly confident the BB would come along the preflop call is fine. Other than that it looks OK. You may consider betting the river. UTG+1 could just be having a hard time letting go of AK here.

If he raises when the queen hits on the turn do you fold here?

Re: 99 checkup
 

Bet. The. River.

Re: 99 checkup
 

The reason I did not bet the river is because I did not think any worse hands would call my middle pair. Bad logic?

Re: 99 checkup
 

[ QUOTE ]
If he raises when the queen hits on the turn do you fold here?

[/ QUOTE ]
yes

Re: 99 checkup
 

[ QUOTE ]
The reason I did not bet the river is because I did not think any worse hands would call my middle pair. Bad logic?

[/ QUOTE ]

Logic is pretty sound excepting that many players will call one bet on this river with AK refusing to be 'bluffed.' If you think its unlikely that this is the case against this player the check is just fine. Most of the time your probably not going to get called by a worse hand here IMHO.

Re: 99 checkup
 

AK will call all the live long day. Read Clarkmeister's comments in this thread.

Re: 99 checkup
 

Hi Bishop,

Logic doesn't apply when dealing with illogical players. If you ever have to think about betting the River, go ahead and do it. It's rarely incorrect. I know I've bled away many big bets over the past year by checking it down, seeing their Ace-high or bottom pair, and thought "Well, it was only a big bet, and he may not have even called, and in the long run, sometimes he'll have a better hand than me, so checking it down wasn't all too bad." Wrong.

-Brian

Re: 99 checkup
 

[ QUOTE ]
I know I've bled away many big bets over the past year by checking it down, seeing their Ace-high or bottom pair, and thought "Well, it was only a big bet, and he may not have even called, and in the long run, sometimes he'll have a better hand than me, so checking it down wasn't all too bad." Wrong.


[/ QUOTE ]

Brian is so right. A large part of your profit will come from value betting where most players are too timid. Not value betting in these spots in order to avoid the hugely rare river raise/checkraise will cost you a lot in the long run.