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-   -   Interesting WSOP ME - Sportsbook Bet. (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=286813)

KingMedicine 07-05-2005 06:38 PM

Interesting WSOP ME - Sportsbook Bet.
 
So, pinnaclesports.com has what i consider to be a very reasonable wager being offered for the WSOP ME. I've reviewed many sportsbooks to see if there were any value bets to be made, and this is the only one i've come up with. id be interested in seeing what you kids think.

The way it works is you pick either Group 1 or Group 2. In each group you get 10 assigned players. The winning wager will be decided depending on which group of 10 players makes more money in the WSOP ME.

Group 1:
Phil Hellmuth
Dan Harrington
John Juanda
Chris Ferguson
Johnny Chan
Barry Greenstein
John Phan
Tuan Le
Michael Mizrachi
Antonio Esfandiari

Group 2:
Daniel Negreanu
Howard Lederer
Ted Forrest
Erick Lindgren
Layne Flack
Erik Siedel
Doyle Brunson
Scotty Nguyen
Mike Matusow
Scott Fischman

When thinking about the list, i think one side should clearly be favored over the other. however, they're offering each side at -105 (meaning, bet 105$ to win 100$). Then, i sent the list to my friend who felt whole-heartedly that the other side would win.

So, what do you think and why?

slickpoppa 07-05-2005 06:52 PM

Re: Interesting WSOP ME - Sportsbook Bet.
 
I'd pick Group 1

DarthIgnurnt 07-05-2005 06:56 PM

Re: Interesting WSOP ME - Sportsbook Bet.
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'd pick Group 1

[/ QUOTE ]

In fact, I'm about to ...

niwotyalpi 07-05-2005 06:57 PM

Re: Interesting WSOP ME - Sportsbook Bet.
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'd pick Group 1

[/ QUOTE ]

As would I. Wonder why Phil Ivey is missing from these lists??

Iplayragstoo 07-05-2005 07:20 PM

Re: Interesting WSOP ME - Sportsbook Bet.
 
Bodog is offering odds as well on the ME, but I believe you can actually choose a player. I believe the lowest odds I saw were like 180-1.

KingMedicine 07-05-2005 07:22 PM

Re: Interesting WSOP ME - Sportsbook Bet.
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'd pick Group 1

[/ QUOTE ]

In fact, I'm about to ...

[/ QUOTE ]

yes, im huge on group 1 as well. interestingly, group 1 dropped to -102 (which means money came in on group 2 in the past few minutes).

this might be easier money than party sngs.

MCS 07-05-2005 07:22 PM

Re: Interesting WSOP ME - Sportsbook Bet.
 
I actually think it's pretty close.

If I had to pick, I'd pick group 2.

OrangeKing 07-05-2005 07:31 PM

Re: Interesting WSOP ME - Sportsbook Bet.
 
[ QUOTE ]
I actually think it's pretty close.

If I had to pick, I'd pick group 2.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree completely - it's very close, but in a pinch, I'd have to take group 2.

2+2 wannabe 07-05-2005 08:44 PM

Re: Interesting WSOP ME - Sportsbook Bet.
 
[ QUOTE ]
As would I. Wonder why Phil Ivey is missing from these lists??

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
Group 1:
Phil Hellmuth
Dan Harrington
John Juanda
Chris Ferguson
Johnny Chan
Barry Greenstein
John Phan
Tuan Le
Michael Mizrachi
Antonio Esfandiari

Group 2:
Daniel Negreanu
Howard Lederer
Ted Forrest
Erick Lindgren
Layne Flack
Erik Siedel
Doyle Brunson
Scotty Nguyen
Mike Matusow
Scott Fischman

Group 3: Phil Ivey

[/ QUOTE ]

TwoNiner 07-05-2005 09:23 PM

Re: Interesting WSOP ME - Sportsbook Bet.
 
While I agree I think group one is stronger this is by no means "easy money" due to the escalating pay scale. Group one could outperform group 2 but one deep finish is likely to decide the whole thing. That being said, -105 is very low juice, so it's probably a good bet, it's just tough to be a great bet.


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