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-   -   (55) +EV push? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=397068)

ace_in_the_hole 12-12-2005 07:37 PM

(55) +EV push?
 
I need help. lol.

NL Texas Hold'em $50 Buy-in + $5 Entry Fee Trny:18222862 Level:4 Blinds(50/100) - Monday, December 12, 18:37:27 EDT 2005
Table Table 66930 (Real Money)
Seat 9 is the button
Total number of players : 6
Seat 1: WallyC ( $740 )
Seat 4: CleanBay ( $4040 )
Seat 6: Ch3rryGh0st ( $920 )
Seat 7: D196441 ( $1640 )
Seat 9: adesso222 ( $1680 )
Seat 10: HERO ( $980 )
Trny:18222862 Level:4
Blinds(50/100)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to HERO [ 7h 6s ]
CleanBay folds.
Ch3rryGh0st folds.
D196441 folds.
adesso222 folds.
HERO is all-In [930]

12-12-2005 07:39 PM

Re: (55) +EV push?
 
I'd fold. I doubt it's +EV

octaveshift 12-12-2005 07:44 PM

Re: (55) +EV push?
 
Push it baby!

12-12-2005 07:49 PM

Re: (55) +EV push?
 
This looks pretty iffy to me.

tewall 12-12-2005 08:02 PM

Re: (55) +EV push?
 
You didn't include any info about the Villain or your image at the table, but assuming this is your first move like this, IMO this is easily +EV. There's very few people who will call this often enough to make it -EV.

I ran an ICM assuming BB will call with 50%+ hands, and going all-in with 76o will on the average increase your EV about 30%. Even if you assume Villain will call with hands as bad as 76o, it's still +EV by almost 20%.

tigerite 12-12-2005 09:59 PM

Re: (55) +EV push?
 
That's not true actually tewall. His range has to be 32% or less for this to be +$EV. However, it probably still will be against most opponents.

Femto 12-12-2005 10:14 PM

Re: (55) +EV push?
 
Ha. I know what your sn is now :-p

tigerite 12-12-2005 10:15 PM

Re: (55) +EV push?
 
You do? How, I wasn't in this SNG?

Femto 12-12-2005 11:39 PM

Re: (55) +EV push?
 
not you tiger, the OP.


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