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-   -   In running/halftime dilema (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=382221)

WichitaDM 11-20-2005 06:43 PM

In running/halftime dilema
 
Have been following the Indy/Cin game. Put 2 units on cinn +10.5 and then 1 unit on +14 during the game. Now am trying to figure out if i should cover these at halftime or not. Cincy seems to be unable to stop indy ever. Any advice?

WichitaDM 11-20-2005 07:04 PM

Re: In running/halftime dilema
 
can get indy -8 for the whole game right now, is it worth going for the middle?

legend42 11-20-2005 07:10 PM

Re: In running/halftime dilema
 
What were the odds on the other bets?

WichitaDM 11-20-2005 07:12 PM

Re: In running/halftime dilema
 
basically all -110.

WichitaDM 11-20-2005 07:16 PM

Re: In running/halftime dilema
 
Pretty sure i should go for the middle and here is why.
Possible outcomes
Indy wins by 15+ lose .3units
Indy wins by 11-14 only lose the 10.5 bet
Indy wins by 8-9-10 win/push all bets
Any other outcome win both cincy bets.

So basically it takes all the risk out of it and im freerolling for a big score if it finishes indy by 8-9-10 or a relatively large win if its 11-14 indy which i see as both being reasonable outcomes.

Homer 11-20-2005 07:24 PM

Re: In running/halftime dilema
 
[ QUOTE ]
can get indy -8 for the whole game right now, is it worth going for the middle?

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you believe at this moment Indy -8 is +EV? If so, bet it. If not, don't. Looking to hedge all the time is not the way to go about sportsbetting.


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