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-   -   98% to win post-flop bad beat (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=404969)

ClaytonN 12-25-2005 10:53 PM

Re: 98% to win post-flop bad beat
 
[ QUOTE ]
550 player online freeroll MTT exactly half way. M>20, Q ~1.5. Winner receives a trip to Vegas.

Donk dealt A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] on CO.
Folds around to donk, raise 3xBB. All fold to aggro player who calls.

Flop:

Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Aggro player bets ~1/3 pot. Donk calling station calls.

Turn:

K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

Aggro player bets ~1/3 pot. Donk calling station calls.

River:

6 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

Aggro player bets ~1/2 of pot. Pot is now size of donk's stack. Donk pushes. Aggro player calls and has donk covered (barely).

Donk doesn't see any other play except calling down with the best possible hand and raising when another hand could have sucked out.

Results in white:
<font color="white"> Aggro player holds Kc6d for 6s full of Kings. Donk finishes 275. Poker is so unfiar!</font>

[/ QUOTE ]

FYP

12-25-2005 10:54 PM

Re: 98% to win post-flop bad beat
 
[ QUOTE ]
ur nice...giving him infintie odds by not raising him ever until he has u dominated.

[/ QUOTE ]

wtf? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] how is villain betting into hero getting infinite odds?

x vikram 12-25-2005 11:18 PM

Re: 98% to win post-flop bad beat
 
If his cards were face up and he still bet the excat same way how would you play it differently?

12-25-2005 11:18 PM

Re: 98% to win post-flop bad beat
 
I think this is one of those cases where you were doomed by the cards.

I don't think that there was any way you were going to get king six out of there once he hit the six without going all in. And we all know that you can't go all in on that flop and expect to make any money.

Snarf 12-26-2005 02:34 AM

Re: 98% to win post-flop bad beat
 
[ QUOTE ]
Hero played this just fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

I kinda agree... but I'm not sure if you can FIRST slowplay it and THEN push in on the river when the board pairs.

TheMainEvent 12-26-2005 03:12 AM

Re: 98% to win post-flop bad beat
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Hero played this just fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

I kinda agree... but I'm not sure if you can FIRST slowplay it and THEN push in on the river when the board pairs.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why not? The reason he slowplayed on the flop is that he (correctly) believed he had his opponent buried so badly that the only way he could get action was by letting him catch up. We've got him killed on the flop, then the board pairs low and suddenly we think we're behind? It's more likely that villian caught just enough to pay us off.

Of course, this is without even mentioning that this is:

a) a freeroll where people will probably pay off your river push with next to nothing

b) a winner take all event where we have to take every chance possible to accumulate chips

At no point in this hand am I afraid of being outdrawn. If I play it fast, it is only to avoid losing action to scare cards.


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