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-   -   Another sanity check 5/10 (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=376448)

Heimdal 11-11-2005 02:50 PM

Another sanity check 5/10
 
5/10 6 max

The small blind is a decent player. I havent seen him get out of line. I have seen him threebet all in with a draw on flop so I dont think thats what he has.
Earlier I opened to $35 on button, he made it $100 and I folded.
The big blind is a donkey.

If I called his flop threebet I would have $650 left. I folded. Bad or standard?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

MP ($247.75)
CO ($1160.75)
Hero ($1167.25)
SB ($1282)
BB ($560.75)
UTG ($1133.55)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $5.
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $35</font>, SB (poster) calls $30, BB calls $25.

Flop: ($105) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $30</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $175</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $475</font>, BB folds, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $785

ladykiller 11-11-2005 03:03 PM

Re: Another sanity check 5/10
 
I think this is a good fold, I can't say that I'd fold it everytime though. But good lay down.

psuasskicker 11-11-2005 04:07 PM

Re: Another sanity check 5/10
 
No chance he's hitting you with JT?

- C -

Jonny 11-14-2005 03:03 PM

Re: Another sanity check 5/10
 
I would never fold this.

kagame 11-14-2005 03:04 PM

Re: Another sanity check 5/10
 
operating under such stern absolutes! that might have something to do with your results

Jonny 11-14-2005 03:10 PM

Re: Another sanity check 5/10
 
well mabye if I had a read that the guy was a rock, but still, he is labeled as agressive. He could easily just have an overpair here and figures you are raising on a draw. Only against the weakest of weaks would I drop this. Even vs a straight, you still have ~35% equity if you stick it in on the flop.

diconoclastx 11-15-2005 12:59 AM

Re: Another sanity check 5/10
 
This could be T9. I like to push here, even if he has a straight I can always suckout.

11-15-2005 02:08 AM

Re: Another sanity check 5/10
 
I only occasionally play on party, mostly play a 500nl live, with 5/10 blinds.
Is raising to only 35 standard online in a 5/10 structure. Seems to me the pf raise shb 50+.
Second, you only have to call 300 to win 785. I would go all in here and if he flopped a straigt you still have 10 outs twice to win and clearly have odds to go.
I would push after his raise. You can't give up so quick. What do you think he put you on??? And you said he doesn't get out of line, well who calls raises with QJ??? Not me.
So do you think he has a bigger set?? Just curious???

Staycool 11-15-2005 02:53 AM

Re: Another sanity check 5/10
 
Let's assume he has the straight every time. If you push (not necessarily optimal) EV= .35(650+785)-.65(950)= -115
So if he has the straight, moving in is -EV, but not by so much. IF he will call all-in with a hand like top two,
EV= .8(650+785)-.2(950)= 958. And you've also go nice EV v combo draw, because of the $ in the pot. It's close, but I'm inclined to push.

edited to fix incorrect math!

Allinlife 11-15-2005 02:56 AM

Re: Another sanity check 5/10
 
really bad

push every time and expect many worse hands to call, suckout otherwise.


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